|

EUR/JPY looking for direction below the 123.00 mark

  • EUR/JPY exchanges gains with losses in sub-123.00 levels.
  • US-China trade, geopolitics keep driving markets’ mood.
  • A test of the 122.00 neighbourhood remains a palpable chance.

EUR/JPY continues to trade within a broad consolidative theme around the 123.00 handle, although a surpass of this important hurdle still remains elusive.

EUR/JPY focused on trade, risk trends

The absence of relevant headlines in the protracted US-China trade dispute leaves developments from the US-Huawei effervescence as one of the main drivers among market participants in past hours.

In fact, Chinese tech giant Huawei is the centre of the storm nowadays after the White House blacklisted the company and later prohibited American firms to trade software and components with the Asian company.

Nothing from the euro calendar today, while ECB’s VP L.De Guindos said at an event in London that the ongoing slowdown in the region could prompt some banks to increase their capital buffers. He also added that the mentioned deceleration favours the occurrence of tail events.

What to look for around JPY

The main driver behind the price action around the Japanese Yen is expected to come from the risk appetite trends and their effects on the safe haven flows. In this regard, the US-China trade concerns plus rising geopolitical fears from US-Iran friction and the potential slowdown in the global economy are seen sustaining the higher demand for JPY. On the soft side for JPY, although largely priced in byt investors, the Bank of Japan remains strongly committed to its QQE programme.

EUR/JPY relevant levels

At the moment the cross is gaining 0.01% at 122.90 and faces initial resistance at 123.61 (high May 10) followed by 123.79 (21-day SMA) and finally 125.23 (monthly high May 1). On the other hand, a breach of 122.08 (low May 15) would aim for 120.54 (monthly low Jan.17 2017) and then 118.82 (2019 low Jan.3 ‘flash crash’).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.