|

EUR/JPY drops after facing barricades around 137.00, ECB on track to hike rates

  • EUR/JPY is declining gradually after failing to sustain above the critical hurdle of 137.00.
  • The shared currency bulls are facing the heat as German Lindner has displayed a gloomy Eurozone outlook.
  • Despite the prolonged ultra-loose monetary policy, the BOJ is failing to inflation rate above 2%.

The EUR/JPY pair has slipped to near 136.85 after failing to sustain above the immediate hurdle of 137.00 in the Asian session. The cross plunged on Wednesday after the release of the German inflation data. Apart from that, Germany’s Finance Minister Christian Lindner displayed a gloomy picture of Germany and the Eurozone.

The Germany Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) landed at 8.5%, in line with the estimates and the prior release. It is worth noting that US inflation dropped sharply on declining oil prices while German inflation remained steady, which indicates that the energy crisis has deepened in the Eurozone area.

Germany’s Lindner featured a gloomy outlook citing that the euro area’s powerhouse is fragile as the European gas crisis deepens by no means out of the Russia-Ukraine war. He added that the economy is on brink of recession, as companies expect significantly worse business activity in the coming months.

The already tedious job of the European Central Bank (ECB) is getting trickier as higher price pressures are accompanied by an energy crisis. Above all, the ECB is on track to elevate its interest rates by 50 basis points (bps). The ECB also hiked its interest rates by 25 bps in July.

On the Tokyo front, the Covid situation and lower inflation is getting more critical for the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The central bank is failing in keeping the inflation rate above 2% and pushing growth rates higher despite the continuation of an ultra-loose monetary policy. Apart from that, the ongoing cabinet re-shuffle is impacting the yen bulls.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price136.85
Today Daily Change-0.05
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open136.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA20138.17
Daily SMA50139.85
Daily SMA100138.07
Daily SMA200133.88
 
Levels
Previous Daily High138.4
Previous Daily Low136.62
Previous Weekly High137.76
Previous Weekly Low133.4
Previous Monthly High142.43
Previous Monthly Low135.55
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%137.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%137.72
Daily Pivot Point S1136.21
Daily Pivot Point S2135.52
Daily Pivot Point S3134.43
Daily Pivot Point R1137.99
Daily Pivot Point R2139.09
Daily Pivot Point R3139.77

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).