|

EUR/JPY continues to move sideways below 125 handle ahead of ECB and BoJ

  • Bundesbank expects modest economic growth in Germany in Q4.
  • Both the BoJ and the ECB are scheduled to announce policy decisions this week.

The EUR/JPY pair is moving sideways on Monday ahead of this week's critical central bank events. As of writing, the pair was down 8 pips on the day at 124.65.

Earlier today, Germany's Bundesbank in its monthly report said that the German economy was expected to grow modestly in the fourth quarter of 2018. "According to provisional figures presented by the Federal Statistical Office, real gross domestic product grew by 1.5% in 2018 as a whole compared with the previous year. Growth in aggregate output thus weakened noticeably as compared with the robust acceleration of 2.2% in the previous year," the Bundesbank said in its publication.

Despite the gloomy outlook in the euro area's biggest economy, the shared currency was able to stay resilient against its rivals on Monday. However, if the ECB recognizes the economic slowdown in the euro area and adopts a cautious tone in its monetary policy statement on Thursday, the euro might come under a renewed selling pressure.

Ahead of the ECB, the BoJ is also scheduled to publish its monetary policy statement. With inflation staying at alarmingly low levels, the BoJ is expected to reaffirm its dovish stance and maybe even ramp up its stimulus program. “Even discounting the oil effect, consumer inflation is weak. That’s because the current economic recovery is driven by the corporate sector and the benefits aren’t passed on much to households,” Yoshiki Shinke, chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute, told Reuters last week.

Key technical levels

EUR/JPY

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 124.65
    Today Daily change: -0.08 pips
    Today Daily change %: -0.06%
    Today Daily Open: 124.73
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 124.87
    Daily SMA50: 126.98
    Daily SMA100: 128.45
    Daily SMA200: 129
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 124.98
    Previous Daily Low: 124.22
    Previous Weekly High: 124.98
    Previous Weekly Low: 123.39
    Previous Monthly High: 129.3
    Previous Monthly Low: 125.36
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 124.69
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 124.51
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 124.3
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 123.88
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 123.54
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 125.06
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 125.4
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 125.82

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces some resistance near 100-SMA on H4, around 1.1830 zone

The EUR/USD pair gains some follow-through positive traction for the second consecutive day and climbs to the 1.1830 region during the Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar remains on the back foot amid concerns about the economic fallout from US President Donald Trump's erratic trade policies and acts as a tailwind for spot prices.

GBP/USD extends recovery to near 20-day EMA as US Dollar weakens

The Pound Sterling holds onto weekly gains around 1.3565 against the US Dollar during the Asian trading session on Thursday. The GBP/USD pair trades firmly as the US Dollar remains under pressure due to uncertainty surrounding the United States trade policy outlook.

Gold struggle with $5,200 extends ahead of more US-Iran talks

Gold is replicating the recovery moves seen in Wednesday’s Asian trading early Thursday, as buyers continue to flirt with the $5,200 level. Sustained US Dollar weakness and looming US-Iran talks aid the bright metal’s rebound.  

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.