|

EUR/JPY continues to move sideways below 125 handle ahead of ECB and BoJ

  • Bundesbank expects modest economic growth in Germany in Q4.
  • Both the BoJ and the ECB are scheduled to announce policy decisions this week.

The EUR/JPY pair is moving sideways on Monday ahead of this week's critical central bank events. As of writing, the pair was down 8 pips on the day at 124.65.

Earlier today, Germany's Bundesbank in its monthly report said that the German economy was expected to grow modestly in the fourth quarter of 2018. "According to provisional figures presented by the Federal Statistical Office, real gross domestic product grew by 1.5% in 2018 as a whole compared with the previous year. Growth in aggregate output thus weakened noticeably as compared with the robust acceleration of 2.2% in the previous year," the Bundesbank said in its publication.

Despite the gloomy outlook in the euro area's biggest economy, the shared currency was able to stay resilient against its rivals on Monday. However, if the ECB recognizes the economic slowdown in the euro area and adopts a cautious tone in its monetary policy statement on Thursday, the euro might come under a renewed selling pressure.

Ahead of the ECB, the BoJ is also scheduled to publish its monetary policy statement. With inflation staying at alarmingly low levels, the BoJ is expected to reaffirm its dovish stance and maybe even ramp up its stimulus program. “Even discounting the oil effect, consumer inflation is weak. That’s because the current economic recovery is driven by the corporate sector and the benefits aren’t passed on much to households,” Yoshiki Shinke, chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute, told Reuters last week.

Key technical levels

EUR/JPY

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 124.65
    Today Daily change: -0.08 pips
    Today Daily change %: -0.06%
    Today Daily Open: 124.73
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 124.87
    Daily SMA50: 126.98
    Daily SMA100: 128.45
    Daily SMA200: 129
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 124.98
    Previous Daily Low: 124.22
    Previous Weekly High: 124.98
    Previous Weekly Low: 123.39
    Previous Monthly High: 129.3
    Previous Monthly Low: 125.36
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 124.69
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 124.51
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 124.3
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 123.88
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 123.54
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 125.06
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 125.4
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 125.82

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD rises to 0.6950 as USD slips on Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the bounce toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. Fed Chair Warsh's comments reinforce the selling pressure on the US Dollar, allowing the pair to stretch higher. Warsh said that he remains committed to delivering price stability without giving away anything on future interest rate path.

USD/JPY falls in symc with USD, gives up 158.00 after Warsh's speech

USD/JPY has come under fresh selling pressure and gives up 158.00 in the Asian session on Friday amid the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling. Fed Chair Warsh's non-committal commentary on the future tightening path, weighs on the US Dollar and the pair.

$4,200: Back in sight for Gold after Warsh’s silence on interest rate outlook

Gold is looking to build on its recent recovery, reverting toward $4,200 in the early European hours, as traders digest US Fed Kevin Warsh’s neutral remarks delivered at the Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva in Bangkok.

Bitcoin holds $80,500; Ethereum rebounds, Ripple weakens

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) show mixed price action on Friday, with BTC and ETH holding above key support levels while XRP struggles below key resistance. Meanwhile, sticky inflation figures have dampened risk appetite, and momentum indicators for these top three cryptocurrencies have also weakened, signaling a risk of a deeper correction if key support fails to hold.

US midterms put fiscal policy under the spotlight, treasury sell-off raises risk
The US will hold its midterm elections - a de facto referendum on the Trump administration - on 3rd November after two years shaped by rising trade protectionism, attacks on Federal Reserve independence and, since the spring, the Iran war. Republicans are expected to take a heavy electoral hit.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.