|

EUR/JPY attempts recovery as Japan's fiscal concerns cap Yen strength

  • EUR/JPY attempts a rebound from multi-week lows.
  • Concerns surrounding Japan’s fiscal situation continue to weigh on the JPY.
  • Investors remain cautious amid political statements and central bank signals.

EUR/JPY trades around 183.20 on Tuesday at the time of writing, posting a modest 0.06% gain on the day, as the recovery attempt from the 182.00 area loses momentum.

The rebound in the pair comes as fears of a currency market intervention gradually ease. Speculation about a coordinated action between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) had supported the Japanese Yen (JPY) late last week, but the lack of immediate concrete signals is now prompting market participants to unwind defensive positions on the Japanese currency.

Nevertheless, downside potential for the JPY remains limited by persistent concerns over Japan’s fiscal stability. Announcements from Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, particularly regarding higher public spending and tax cuts ahead of the snap lower house election scheduled for February 8, revive fears of a further deterioration in public finances. These concerns are fueling volatility in Japanese government Bond yields and remain a structural headwind for the Japanese Yen.

On the macroeconomic front, the latest producer-side inflation data in Japan point to a mild easing in price pressures, though not enough to challenge the Bank of Japan’s gradual policy normalization path. The central bank recently upgraded its economic and inflation forecasts while keeping interest rates unchanged, signaling readiness to continue tightening if conditions allow.

On the European side, the Euro (EUR) finds only limited support. Recent data from the Eurozone, including business sentiment figures from Germany, lack momentum, while investors await remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, scheduled for later in the day. She is, however, expected to reiterate a cautious stance, without delivering new guidance likely to materially shift monetary policy expectations.

Against this backdrop, EUR/JPY struggles to extend its upside move and remains sensitive to developments in Japanese political risk and signals from central banks, keeping the pair confined to a consolidation phase below recent highs.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.58%-0.52%-0.55%-0.75%-0.67%-0.54%-1.12%
EUR0.58%0.07%0.07%-0.16%-0.09%0.05%-0.54%
GBP0.52%-0.07%0.00%-0.23%-0.16%-0.03%-0.61%
JPY0.55%-0.07%0.00%-0.19%-0.12%0.00%-0.57%
CAD0.75%0.16%0.23%0.19%0.07%0.20%-0.38%
AUD0.67%0.09%0.16%0.12%-0.07%0.14%-0.45%
NZD0.54%-0.05%0.03%-0.00%-0.20%-0.14%-0.58%
CHF1.12%0.54%0.61%0.57%0.38%0.45%0.58%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD advaces towards 1.3450 after BoE decision, US Q2 GDP

GBP/USD gains positive momentum on Thursday, approaching 1.3450 and trading at fresh multi-week highs. The Bank of England decided to maintain the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75%. The MPC voted 6-3 to keep rates on hold, with the 3 dissenters favoring a rate hike. US Q2 GDP missing expectations helped the pair advance, while renewed US Dollar weakness across the FX board pushes the pair further up ahead of the monthly close.

EUR/USD jumps above 1.1500, highest in six weeks

The EUR/USD pair trades north of 1.1500 in the American session on Thursday, reaching fresh six-week highs. The US Dollar is in sell-off mode, with multiple factors weighing on the American currency. Not only did the Federal Reserve vote divided to keep rates on hold on Wednesday, creating doubts about a September hike, but US Q2 GDP missed expectations. A suspected JPY intervention adds pressure on the Greenback.

Gold recovers the $4,100 level as US Dollar weakens further

Gold trades just above $4,100 amid a US Dollar sell-off. The Greenback enjoyed some near-term demand following Wednesday's post-FOMC downfall, but was unable to retain its gains. The preliminary estimate of the US Q2 GDP showed the economy grew at an annual rate of 1.5%, missing the market's expectations of 2.1%.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP builds recovery momentum as whales increase exposure
Ripple (XRP) rises toward the pivotal $1.10 resistance on Thursday, marking three consecutive days of gains. This neutral-to-slightly bullish outlook follows the Federal Reserve (Fed) decision to leave interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range.
The FOMC: Rates left on hold; dollar falls as Warsh fails to vote for hike
The Fed kept interest rates on hold today, defying a 30% chance in the Fed Funds Futures market that rates would rise. The Committee voted 9-3 to keep rates on hold, with governors Kashkari, Hammack and Logan all voting to hike rates due to concerns about inflation. The immediate market reaction has been a sharp drop in the USD on a broad basis.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.