|

EUR is flat consolidating just below recent multi-year highs – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is entering Monday’s NA session unchanged against the US Dollar (USD) as it consolidates in a tight range in the mid-1.17s just below last Friday’s multi-year high, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

EUR is consolidating ahead of inflation data

"Yield spreads continue to narrow in a EUR-supportive manner, as the outlook for relative central bank policy incorporates a more dovish outlook for the Fed. In terms of data, this week’s highlight will be the release of the Germany’s CPI at 8am ET and will be followed by the preliminary euro area CPI figures on Tuesday. The ECB’s Sintra forum will also offer headline risk with President Lagarde scheduled to speak later today at 3pm ET."

"The medium-term trend remains bullish as we’ve observed a multi-month sequence of higher lows and higher highs since March. The rally has delivered fresh multi-year highs, reaching levels last seen in September 2021. Momentum is bullish, and the RSI is above the overbought threshold at 70 but still shy of its recent peaks around 75. We see little resistance ahead of the upper-1.18 area and expect the near-term range to be bound between support below 1.1680 and resistance around 1.18."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.