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EUR/GBP to continue to trade on the weak side into year-end – ING

Sterling has enjoyed November. Economists at ING analyze GBP outlook ahead of the Bank of England (BOE) meeting.

EUR/GBP should head back up to the 0.88 area next year

In terms of the risk to Sterling market interest rates and the currency from the December BoE meeting, we tend to think it is too early for the BoE to condone easing expectations – even though those expectations are substantially more modest than those on the eurozone. This could mean that EUR/GBP continues to trade on the weak side into year-end – probably in the 0.8500-0.8600 range.

Into 2024, however, we expect market pricing to correct – less to be priced for the ECB, more for the UK and EUR/GBP should head back up to the 0.88 area. But that's a story for next year.

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FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

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