|

EUR/GBP recovers its losses around the mid-0.8600s following UK CPI data

  • EUR/GBP gains ground around 0.8645 following the UK inflation data.
  • The UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in worse than market expectations.
  • The European Central Bank’s Lagarde warned that inflation might rise again in December as a result of colder weather.
  • Traders will monitor October’s Eurozone Current Account, Construction Output, and ECB’s Lane speech.

The EUR/GBP cross recovers its recent losses during the early European session on Wednesday. The weaker-than-expected UK inflation data exerts some selling pressure on the British Pound (GBP) and lends some support to EUR/GBP. The cross currently trades near 0.8645, gaining 0.21% on the day.

The latest data from the UK Office for National Statistics revealed that the nation’s inflation data, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), came in at -0.2% MoM in November from the previous reading of 0%, missing the estimation of 0.1%. Additionally, the annual CPI figure rose 3.9% versus 4.6% prior, below the market consensus of 4.4%. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, eased from 5.7% in October to 5.1% in November, worse than the expectation of 5.6%. In response to the data, the GBP edges lower against the Euro (EUR) and creates a tailwind for the EUR/GBP cross.

The Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden remarked on Tuesday that she had no predetermined path for interest rates in mind but that policy needed to remain restrictive in order to keep inflation pressure in check.

Eurostat data released on Tuesday indicated that Eurozone inflation was weaker than expected in November owing to a drop in energy prices. However, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde warned that inflation might rise again in December as a result of colder weather, which raises energy demand and prices. Furthermore, the ECB study said that climate change would make monetary policymakers' tasks more difficult.

The ECB's policymaker Bostjan Vasle stated on Monday that they would need at least until spring to assess their policy stance, and market expectations for interest rate cuts in March or April are premature.

Traders will keep an eye on the Eurozone Current Account and Construction Output for October. ECB’s Philip Lane is also set to speak later on Wednesday. Traders will take cues from these data and find trading opportunities around the EUR/GBP cross.

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8621
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open0.8628
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8619
Daily SMA500.8669
Daily SMA1000.8638
Daily SMA2000.8661
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8639
Previous Daily Low0.8598
Previous Weekly High0.8634
Previous Weekly Low0.8549
Previous Monthly High0.8766
Previous Monthly Low0.8614
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8614
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8623
Daily Pivot Point S10.8604
Daily Pivot Point S20.8581
Daily Pivot Point S30.8563
Daily Pivot Point R10.8645
Daily Pivot Point R20.8663
Daily Pivot Point R30.8686

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).