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EUR/GBP recovers further from YTD low set last week, climbs to 0.8630 region

  • EUR/GBP scales higher for the second straight day and recovers further from the YTD low.
  • Hawkish remarks by ECB officials underpin the shared currency and remain supportive.
  • The setup supports prospects for additional gains towards the 0.8670 support breakpoint.

The EUR/GBP cross gains positive traction for the second successive day on Monday and recovers further from a fresh YTD low, around the 0.8565 region touched last week. The cross maintains its strong bid tone through the mid-European session and is currently placed near a three-day high, around the 0.8625-0.8630 region.

The shared currency's relative outperformance comes amid the recent hawkish remarks by several European Central Bank (ECB) officials, backing the case for additional rate hikes in the coming months. In fact, ECB policymaker Boštjan Vasle said on Friday that more rate hikes are needed to get inflation to the 2% target as core inflation remains high and persistent. Separately, ECB Governing Council member, Gabriel Makhlouf noted that the central bank has not reached the moment where it can say let's now stop.

Adding to this,  ECB President Christine Lagarde, speaking at the Hearing before the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) of the European Parliament, reiterated that price pressure remains strong in the Euro area. Lagarde added that there is no clear evidence that underlying inflation has peaked and that wage pressures have strengthened further. This overshadows last week's softer Eurozone CPI figures and continues to underpin the Euro, which, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the EUR/GBP cross.

The British Pound, on the other hand, struggles to attract any buyers as the market already seems to have priced in the prospects for another interest rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE). This, in turn, favours bullish traders and backs the case for a further near-term appreciating move for the EUR/GBP cross. Hence, some follow-through strength back towards testing a strong horizontal support breakpoint, around the 0.8670 region, looks like a distinct possibility. The said area should act as a pivotal point for short-term traders.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8629
Today Daily Change0.0028
Today Daily Change %0.33
Today daily open0.8601
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8676
Daily SMA500.8751
Daily SMA1000.8792
Daily SMA2000.8755
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8605
Previous Daily Low0.8578
Previous Weekly High0.8695
Previous Weekly Low0.8568
Previous Monthly High0.8835
Previous Monthly Low0.8583
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8595
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8589
Daily Pivot Point S10.8585
Daily Pivot Point S20.8568
Daily Pivot Point S30.8558
Daily Pivot Point R10.8611
Daily Pivot Point R20.8622
Daily Pivot Point R30.8638

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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