|

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Rising in a shallow recovery channel

  • EUR/GBP is rising in a shallow channel since it bottomed out in late August. 
  • The trend is now probably sideways – possibly even bullish, with odds favoring more upside and a reversal. 

EUR/GBP continues steadily recovering in a shallow channel. The dominant short-term downtrend in August has ended and the pair has entered a sideways trend. It is even possible it could be at the start of an uptrend. 

EUR/GBP 4-hour Chart

EUR/GBP will probably continue its shallow rising channel higher. An acceleration to the upside and decisive breakout above the upper channel line could lead to a move up to a target at 0.8468. The odds are probably now marginally in favor of more upside. A decisive break would be one accompanied by a long green candle that breaks above the level and closes near its high, or three green candles in a row. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator is rising in line with price, indicating mild bullish confidence. 

It is still possible the August downtrend could resume, with a decisive breakdown below the lower channel line probably leading to a fall to a target at 0.8400. 

The pair was falling in a descending channel during August. The downtrend accelerated and temporarily broke out of the bottom of the channel – a sign of exhaustion. After bottoming out it began a shallow recovery which continues evolving.  

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.