|

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Oscillates around 0.8750s on a strong pound

  • EUR/GBP drops below the 20-day EMA, aiming to extend the downtrend towards 0.8700.
  • If the EUR/GBP breaks below 0.8744, it will expose crucial supports at around 0.8736, 0.8700, and the S3 pivot at 0.8671.

The EUR/GBP is on the defensive, dropping for the first time in the last six days amid a risk-on impulse weighing on the shared currency. At the time of writing, the EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8756, below its opening price, after hitting a daily high of 0.8807.

EUR/GBP Price Forecast

The EUR/GBP daily chart shows the pair faced solid resistance at the 20-day EMA at 0.8783, which was briefly broken, though, the pair retreated, and it’s trading at around October 10 lows. Therefore, the EUR/GBP is range-bound, with price action contained between the high/low of yesterday, but as it printed a fresh 3-day low, the path of least resistance is downwards. A break below 0.8744 could tumble the pair towards 0.8725, ahead of the 0.8700 mark.

The one-hour time frame illustrates the EUR/GBP as range-bound, even though price action it’s below the 20, 50, 100, and 200-EMAs, with all trapped in the 0.8760-0.8777 range. Traders should be aware that even though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the 50-midline unless the EUR/GBP decisively breaks below 0.8736, October 7 daily low, it would likely remain subdued.

If the above scenario plays out, the EUR/GBP next support would be 0.8700, followed by the S3 daily pivot at 0.8671.

EUR/GBP Key Technical Levels

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8756
Today Daily Change-0.0015
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open0.8772
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8782
Daily SMA500.8618
Daily SMA1000.8573
Daily SMA2000.8477
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8814
Previous Daily Low0.8745
Previous Weekly High0.8831
Previous Weekly Low0.8649
Previous Monthly High0.9254
Previous Monthly Low0.8566
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8771
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8788
Daily Pivot Point S10.874
Daily Pivot Point S20.8708
Daily Pivot Point S30.8672
Daily Pivot Point R10.8809
Daily Pivot Point R20.8846
Daily Pivot Point R30.8877

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD climbs to four-day highs near 1.3250

GBP/USD rapidly reverses Friday’s small losses and challenges the 1.3250 level, or four-day tops, at the beginning of the week. Cable’s upside comes on the back of further loss of momentum in the Greenback, while traders continue to assess the geopolitical front and upcoming key events.

EUR/USD extends the advance past 1.1400

EUR/USD starts the week on a positive note, trading above 1.1400 on Monday as broad-based US Dollar weakness lends support to the pair. In the meantime, investors continue to monitor developments surrounding efforts to end the US-Iran conflict, while attention gradually shifts to the ECB's annual forum and the US NFP data.

Gold falters just ahead of $4,100

Gold remains under modest bearish pressure just above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal struggles to extend its recent gains as renewed effervescence in the Middle East revives inflation concerns and bolsters Fed rate hike expectations.

Bitcoin four-year cycle: BTC risks 75% drawdown with four months of bear market still ahead

Bitcoin price continues to trend downward below the $60,000 support zone after losing over 50% of its value since the $126,199 high in October. Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, measured from cycle tops to bottoms, suggests that four months of a bear market are still ahead.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.