EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Appreciates toward 0.8400 following weaker UK GDP data

EUR/GBP could find primary resistance around the psychological level of 0.8400.
The currency cross is testing nine-day EMA support, suggesting a potential weakening of short-term price momentum.
UK Gross Domestic Product declined by 0.1% following a 0.4% increase in December.

Akhtar Faruqui FXStreet

EUR/GBP gains ground after registering losses in the previous two sessions, trading around 0.8380 during the early European hours. The currency cross appreciates following the United Kingdom's (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) released on Friday.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the UK economy shrank in January, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) declining by 0.1% following a 0.4% increase in December. Markets had anticipated a 0.1% expansion for the period.

A technical examination of the daily chart indicates the price of the currency cross testing nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support, suggesting a potential weakening of short-term price momentum.

However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), a key momentum indicator, remains above 50, indicating a bullish bias is still intact. However, the EUR/GBP cross remains above the 50-day, reinforcing medium-term price momentum.

On the upside, the EUR/GBP cross could explore the area around the psychological level of 0.8400, followed by the two-month high of 0.8449, met on March 11.

The EUR/GBP cross tests immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 0.8374 level, followed by the 50-day EMA at 0.8337 level. A break below this level could weaken the medium-term price momentum and lead the currency cross to navigate the region around the three-month low at 0.8242 level, recorded on February 28.

EUR/GBP: Daily Chart

Economic Indicator

Gross Domestic Product (MoM)

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), released by the Office for National Statistics on a monthly and quarterly basis, is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced in the UK during a given period. The GDP is considered as the main measure of UK economic activity. The MoM reading compares economic activity in the reference month to the previous month. Generally, a rise in this indicator is bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

AUD/USD regains mild traction, falters near 0.7150

AUD/USD gathers some steam and manages to flirt with the 0.7150 level on Thursday. However, the pair has retraced some of Wednesday’s significant pullback due to renewed selling pressure on the Greenback and a slight improvement in risk sentiment following hopes of a deal in the Middle East. Wrapping up the Australian docket, the RBA’s Hauser will speak early on Friday.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold puts its 200-day SMA to the test near $4,420

Gold keeps the bullish stance in place in the latter part of Thursday’s session, although a convincing break above the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce still remains elusive. The precious metal’s advance comes amid the resurgence of some selling interest around the Greenback, improving risk sentiment, and declining US Treasury yields across the board.

XRP plummets as ETF outflows, geopolitical tensions reinforce bearish outlook

Ripple (XRP) edges lower, trading around $1.15 at the time of writing on Thursday, its lowest price since February 6. The cross-border money remittance token is extending the sell-off for the fifth consecutive day, reflecting persistent headwinds from ongoing geopolitical tensions and investor uncertainty.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.