EUR/GBP pares BOE-led moves around 0.8950, German inflation, energy crisis in the spotlight


  • EUR/GBP picks up bids to reverse the post-BOE pullback.
  • Hawkish ECB jostled with the BOE’s bond-buying plan but failed to recall the bears.
  • Looming economic fears for the UK join hawkish ECBspeak to keep buyers hopeful.
  • German inflation may allow traders to witness further upside with firmer HICP numbers.

EUR/GBP prints mild gains around 0.8950 during Thursday’s Asian session, after a volatile day that ended on a positive note.

The cross-currency pair’s latest gains could be linked to the regional currency’s comparative strength considering the hawkish comments from the European Central Bank (ECB). However, softer yields and hopes of the UK’s extra efforts to restrict trader confidence could challenge the pair bears.

That said, the Bank of England (BOE) announced a bond-buying program to defend the British Pound (GBP) on Wednesday. The details suggest that the BOE will buy bonds with a maturity of over 20 years and up to 5 billion sterling worth per auction initially. On the other hand, ECB President Christine Lagarde reiterated on Wednesday that they would continue to raise rates in the next several meetings, as reported by Reuters. Several other ECB Governing Council members, namely Olli Rehn, Peter Kazimir, and Robert Holzmann, openly favored a 0.75% rate hike in the next meeting.

Elsewhere, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields slumped the most in six months and allowed equities to consolidate recent losses, propelling the EUR and drowning the US dollar.

Looking forward, preliminary readings of Germany’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for September, expected 10% YoY versus 8.8% prior, will be essential to watch for fresh impulse. Also important will be the ECBSpeak and the comments from various BOE policymakers. Above all, risk catalysts are crucial to determine short-term EUR/GBP moves.

Considering the less likely immediate end of the UK’s financial problems, the EUR/GBP prices are likely to remain firmer and can rise further if the Germany data offers a positive surprise.

Technical analysis

A three-day-old bullish triangle restricts immediate EUR/GBP moves between 0.9030 and 0.8850.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.8953
Today Daily Change 0.0015
Today Daily Change % 0.17%
Today daily open 0.8938
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.8725
Daily SMA50 0.8558
Daily SMA100 0.8547
Daily SMA200 0.8462
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9004
Previous Daily Low 0.8897
Previous Weekly High 0.8937
Previous Weekly Low 0.8692
Previous Monthly High 0.8653
Previous Monthly Low 0.834
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.8938
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.8963
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8888
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8839
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8781
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.8996
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9054
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9104

 

 

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