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EUR/GBP drops to multi-day low, eyes 0.8600 mark on weaker Euro Zone PMIs

  • EUR/GBP meets with heavy supply in reaction to the dismal Euro Zone PMI prints for July.
  • The weaker data eases pressure on the ECB to hike rates further and weighs on the Euro.
  • Diminishing odds for a more aggressive BoE cap gains for the GBP and could limit losses.

The EUR/GBP cross comes under heavy selling pressure during the early European session on Monday and drops to a three-day low, around the 0.8620 region in reaction to the dismal Euro Zone data.

The shared currency takes a hit following the rather disappointing release of Eurozone PMI prints, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor behind the latest leg of a sudden drop for the EUR/GBP cross. In fact, S&P Global's preliminary report pointed to a sharp slowdown in business activity in France and Germany - the Eurozone's two largest economies. Moreover, the composite Euro Zone PMI missed consensus estimates and eases pressure on the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike interest rates after the anticipated 25 bps lift-off later this week.

The EUR/GBP cross, however, manages to hold above the 0.8600 mark, at least for the time being, in the wake of diminishing odds for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Bank of England (BoE), bolstered by last week's softer UK consumer inflation figures. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that the EUR/GBP pair's recent goodish recovery from the vicinity of the 0.8500 psychological mark, or its lowest level since August 2022 touched earlier this month, has run its course.

Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets and wait on the sidelines ahead of the crucial ECB policy meeting on Thursday. In the meantime, the release of the flash version of the UK PMI prints for July might influence the British Pound and provide some impetus to the EUR/GBP cross. Nevertheless, spot prices have now retreated nearly 100 pips from a nearly one-month high touched last week and a convincing break below the 0.8600 round figure should pave the way for a further intraday depreciating move.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8624
Today Daily Change-0.0033
Today Daily Change %-0.38
Today daily open0.8657
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8587
Daily SMA500.8606
Daily SMA1000.8703
Daily SMA2000.873
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.868
Previous Daily Low0.8634
Previous Weekly High0.8701
Previous Weekly Low0.857
Previous Monthly High0.8658
Previous Monthly Low0.8518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8662
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8652
Daily Pivot Point S10.8634
Daily Pivot Point S20.8611
Daily Pivot Point S30.8588
Daily Pivot Point R10.868
Daily Pivot Point R20.8702
Daily Pivot Point R30.8725

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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