|

Elliott Wave forecast: S&P 500 (SPX) targets 6639 in final Wave (5)

The Elliott Wave cycle, initiated at the April 7, 2025 low, is progressing as an impulse structure, driving the Index upward. Wave (1) reached a high of 5267.47, followed by a wave (2) pullback to 4910.42. The Index then surged in wave (3) to 6427.02, as depicted in the one-hour chart. A corrective wave (4) concluded at 6212.42, structured as a zigzag. Within this correction, wave A dropped to 6327.6, wave B climbed to 6339.89, and wave C finalized the decline at 6212.4, completing wave (4) in the higher degree.

The Index has since advanced in wave (5), breaking above the wave (3) peak of 6427.02, confirming the next upward move. This wave (5) is unfolding as a lower-degree impulse. From the wave (4) low, wave 1 hit 6346, and wave 2 corrected to 6289.37. The Index then nested higher, with wave ((i)) reaching 6389.7 and wave ((ii)) retracing to 6310.32. In the short term, anticipate a few more highs to complete wave 1 of (5). A pullback should follow to adjust the cycle from the August 2, 2025 low. As long as the 6212.4 pivot remains intact, the Index should continue climbing.

S&P 500 (SPX) – 60 minute Elliott Wave technical chart

Chart

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).