|

Dow (YM) rockets higher from extreme zone – Bull run continues

Dow (YM) Futures bounced from the extreme support zone and broke to new highs, extending April’s bullish cycle. This post shows how our Elliottwave analysis positioned members ahead of the move—spotting the setup before the breakout.

Following the end of the February 2025 pullback that corrected the bullish cycle from October 2022, a new bullish cycle started on 7th April 2025. This cycle marked the 5th wave of the long term bullish cycle from March 2020. The April 2025 bullish cycle broke into a new high on 28th July 2025. Following this breakout, we recommended to members to buy at the extreme of the 3/7/11 swing pullback. Our system focuses on buy pullbacks within a bullish trend. Likewise, when the sequence is bearish, we prefer to sell at the extreme of corrective bounces. However, we do not just trade any structures. We like to trade off the extreme of a zigzag/double zigzag/triple zigzag corrective structure. We traded the double

Understanding the double zigzag (7-swing structure) in Elliott Wave theory

In Elliott Wave analysis, a double zigzag is a complex corrective pattern that helps the market correct deeper than a single zigzag. It’s labeled as W-X-Y, where:

  • W and Y are both zigzag structures (5-3-5).
  • X is a connecting wave, often a simple corrective move.

Key traits of a double zigzag:

  • It appears in corrective phases, especially when the market needs to retrace more aggressively.
  • The second zigzag (Y) often reaches the 100% of W from X.
  • It’s more directional than other complex corrections, making it easier to trade with proper wave identification.

After the Dow (YM) marginally reached a new high in July, it pulled back and rallied again in a clear 5-wave structure. Thus, on the shorter cycle, we waited for a perfect 3/7/11 swing and recommended to members to buy at the extreme.

YM Elliott Wave analysis – 22 August 2025 update

On 22nd August, we shared the chart above showing a 7-swing pullback for wave 2 of (5). The wave (5) is to be the 5th wave of the April cycle. While incomplete, we decided to buy at the extreme of the wave 2 of (5), anticipating to profit off wave 3 of (5) rallies. Price reached the 44757-44422 buying zone and bounced sharply as the chart below shows.

YM Elliott Wave analysis – 23 August 2025 update

The chart above is the H1 23-August weekend update we shared to members. A perfect reaction from the extreme zone put buyers in good profit while anticipating for more. Going into the new week, we will still anticipate support from the extreme of a 3/7/11 swing pullback toward a new high. We will alert members with new H1 charts several times a day, as price action develops.

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold consolidates below $4,300 amid hawkish Fed, higher bond yields, and bullish USD

Gold extends its consolidative price move, and languishes near the weekly low set the previous day amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. The US Dollar pauses for a breather following a strong rally to a nearly two-month high and offers some support to the commodity. However, the US Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook, elevated US bond yields, and persistent geopolitical uncertainties favor USD bulls.

Ripple, Cardano, Solana: ETF inflows and whale demand signal further rally
Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL) continue to experience a steady recovery with double-digit gains so far this month. Ripple and Solana experience firm institutional demand, while the percentage of ADA supply in profit rises, underpinned by interest from large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales.
Treasury yields at 2007 highs

The combination of energy prices rising back above $100 a barrel, US PMI’s topping multi-year indexes and FOMC members taking tough tones when discussing future rate paths have all led Treasuries at both ends of the curve with higher yields. Treasury Notes account for close to 52% of all marketable Treasuries, so movements in yields are especially painful for the US fiscal outlook.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.