Dow Jones Industrial Average tests the high side as investors try to respark the tech run

The Dow Jones clambered back over the 43,000 level on Monday.
Market sentiment rose after a report that the Trump team might trim tariff plans.
Final US S&P Global PMIs missed Wall Street forecasts in December but still rose.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) extended into the bullish side to kick off the new trading week, clipping back over the 43,000 handle and lurching 300 points higher after a Washington Post article suggested that incoming President Donald Trump and his team may be considering a more nuanced approach to widespread tariffs the President-elect has threatened to impose shortly after taking office.

Former and returning President Donald Trump was quick to voice resistance to the article, claiming that the Post story was wrong and that the incoming President still intends to impose a sweeping tariff package against most of the US’ closest allies and trading partners. Investors shrugged off the back-and-forth, clinging to the hopes that President Trump will be dissuaded from imposing what amounts to a flat 20% import tax on US consumers.

Final US S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures somewhat missed the mark on Monday, with the Composite and Services PMIs for December both climbing from one month to the next, albeit less than analysts expected. Both indicators saw a slight downward revision from their preliminary prints, but still gained ground as the US economy churns on.

Dow Jones news

Markets are looking to reignite the tech rally juggernaut in 2025, pushing chipmakers higher and dragging most of the market higher alongside them. Nvidia (NVDA) soared over 4.5%, climbing above $151 per share. A distant second place goes to Goldman Sachs (GS) which rose around 2% to $590 per share.

Dow Jones price forecast

After a tepid start to the new trading year, the bulls are back on the block and the Dow Jones is getting pushed back above the 43,000 handle as bidders try to regain lost ground following the DJIA’s most recent downside plunge. The Dow Jones has rebounded 2.3% from a near-term swing low into the 42,000 region, but bidders still need to drag price action back above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 43,225 before the bull market can be declared renewed.

Dow Jones daily chart

Economic Indicator

S&P Global Composite PMI

The S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis, is a leading indicator gauging US private-business activity in the manufacturing and services sector. The data is derived from surveys to senior executives. Each response is weighted according to the size of the company and its contribution to total manufacturing or services output accounted for by the sub-sector to which that company belongs. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. The index varies between 0 and 100, with levels of 50.0 signaling no change over the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the private economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for USD.

EUR/USD remains heavy near 1.1600 after hot EU inflation data

EUR/USD remains heavily offered near 1.1600, six-week lows, in the European session on Tuesday. The pair fails to find any inspiration from a surprise pick up in Eurozone inflation for February, as the US Dollar continues to attract safe haven flows amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

GBP/USD attacks 1.3300, refreshing three-month lows

GBP/USD is deep in the red near 1.3300, accelerating its downside to renew three-month lows in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar capitalizes on increased haven demand.

Gold falls below $5,300 as stronger USD counter Middle East woes

Gold attracts some intraday selling and falls below $5,300 on Tuesday. The US Dollar climbs to a fresh high since January 20 and turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the commodity. However, concerns about a broader regional conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investors' sentiment and underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion.

Stellar risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

Middle East conflict ramps up a gear as energy price spike rips through markets

It’s another risk off day as geopolitical headwinds continue to batter financial markets. Although markets calmed during the US session and US stocks managed to post gains on Monday, this has not fed through to the European session, and stocks and bonds are sharply lower for a second day.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.