Dow Jones futures trades broadly stable ahead of Netflix earnings, US-EU trade talks
- Dow Jones futures demonstrate a stable performance, while investors await the release of Netflix’s Q2 earnings of 2025.
- The US and the EU are set for fresh round of trade talks.
- Fed officials have warned that the impact of Trump’s tariffs on inflation has just started.
Dow Jones futures trade quietly during the European trading session on Thursday. Financial market participants have sidelined, with investors await fresh cues on trade talks between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU).
At the time of writing, Dow Jones futures are marginally down to near 44,200. S&P 500 futures trade almost flat around 6,270.
On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump signaled possibility of reaching a trade agreement with the EU, while expressing confidence that Washington is close to signing deal with India.
"We’re [Washington] very close to India, and we could possibly make a deal with the EU,” Trump said in an interview aired on Real America’s Voice, Reuters reported.
Meanwhile, EU trade chief Maros Sefcovic headed to Washington on Wednesday for next round of trade talks.
On the domestic front, the release of Q2 corporate earnings from Netflix, PepsiCo., and GE Aerospace will be keenly watched by market participants.
According to analysts at Vital Knowledge, the global streaming player will "put up very healthy results” as its dominance in the entertainment sector has “expanded”.
US equities saw a steep fall on Wednesday after Reuters reported that President Trump received positive response from Republican lawmakers toward dismissing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. However, equity markets showed a V-Shape recovery when Trump refuted reports stating Powell’s immediate oust.
During the European session, the US Dollar (USD) trades firmly as Fed officials have warned of de-anchoring inflation expectations, following the increase in prices of goods that are majorly imported by the US. This scenario could allow Fed officials to demand more time to assess the impact of tariffs on inflation before lowering interest rates.
(This story was corrected on July 17 at 10:49 GMT to say, in the first bullet, that Netflix will report its 2025 Q2 earnings, not 2026.)
Dow Jones FAQs
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, one of the oldest stock market indices in the world, is compiled of the 30 most traded stocks in the US. The index is price-weighted rather than weighted by capitalization. It is calculated by summing the prices of the constituent stocks and dividing them by a factor, currently 0.152. The index was founded by Charles Dow, who also founded the Wall Street Journal. In later years it has been criticized for not being broadly representative enough because it only tracks 30 conglomerates, unlike broader indices such as the S&P 500.
Many different factors drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The aggregate performance of the component companies revealed in quarterly company earnings reports is the main one. US and global macroeconomic data also contributes as it impacts on investor sentiment. The level of interest rates, set by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the DJIA as it affects the cost of credit, on which many corporations are heavily reliant. Therefore, inflation can be a major driver as well as other metrics which impact the Fed decisions.
Dow Theory is a method for identifying the primary trend of the stock market developed by Charles Dow. A key step is to compare the direction of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) and only follow trends where both are moving in the same direction. Volume is a confirmatory criteria. The theory uses elements of peak and trough analysis. Dow’s theory posits three trend phases: accumulation, when smart money starts buying or selling; public participation, when the wider public joins in; and distribution, when the smart money exits.
There are a number of ways to trade the DJIA. One is to use ETFs which allow investors to trade the DJIA as a single security, rather than having to buy shares in all 30 constituent companies. A leading example is the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA). DJIA futures contracts enable traders to speculate on the future value of the index and Options provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the index at a predetermined price in the future. Mutual funds enable investors to buy a share of a diversified portfolio of DJIA stocks thus providing exposure to the overall index.
Author
Sagar Dua
FXStreet
Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.
