Crude Oil eases back on Wednesday, WTI falls back below $79 per barrel

Crude Oil markets decline as investment sentiment recedes.
Midweek market flows shed weight as Treasuries squeeze out risk appetite.
WTI stumbles after hitting three-week highs.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil fell back on Wednesday, trimming recent gains and snapping a three-day bullish streak and falling back below $80.00 per barrel. Broad-market risk appetite is evaporating in the mid-week as investors balk at declining demand for US Treasuries and energy markets grow concerned ahead of US Crude Oil production counts.

Demand for US Treasuries declined this week, with bid-to-cover ratios on key bond auctions declining. Jittery investors are growing concerned about demand for US Treasuries, and pulling away from risk assets in search of safer pastures. The bid-to-cover on Wednesday’s 7-year Trasury note auction declined to 2.43 versus the previous 2.48.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its extended network of non-member allies, OPEC+, are due to begin an online-only meeting this Sunday on June 2, and energy markets are broadly anticipating that OPEC+ will maintain voluntary production caps of a total 2.2 million bpd as the oil cartel grapples with supporting global Cruide Oil prices by crimping supply.

US Crude Oil production, meanwhile, continues to threaten to swamp out demand, and barrel traders are looking ahead to US Crude Oil barrel counts due this week.

Economic Indicator

EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

The EIA Crude Oil stockpiles report is a weekly measure of the change in the number of barrels in stock of crude oil and its derivates, and it's released by the Energy Information Administration. This report tends to generate large price volatility, as oil prices impact on worldwide economies, affecting the most, commodity related currencies such as the Canadian dollar. Despite it has a limited impact among currencies, this report tends to affect the price of oil itself, and, therefore, had a more notorious impact on WTI crude futures.

WTI technical outlook

WTI US Crude Oil fell back under $80.00 per barrel on Wednesday, and crossing below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $79.16. Crude Oil ius poised to end i nthe red for the first time in four straight trading days, and WTI remains down over 9% from the year’s peak bids just above $87.00.

WTI daily chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price	78.91
Today Daily Change	-1.18
Today Daily Change %	-1.47
Today daily open	80.09

Trends
Daily SMA20	78.46
Daily SMA50	81.38
Daily SMA100	78.87
Daily SMA200	79.57

Levels
Previous Daily High	80.12
Previous Daily Low	78.35
Previous Weekly High	80.06
Previous Weekly Low	76.04
Previous Monthly High	87.12
Previous Monthly Low	80.62
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	79.44
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	79.02
Daily Pivot Point S1	78.92
Daily Pivot Point S2	77.75
Daily Pivot Point S3	77.15
Daily Pivot Point R1	80.69
Daily Pivot Point R2	81.29
Daily Pivot Point R3	82.46

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.