|

China GDP preview - what to look out for and levels in AUD/USD?

The main event today comes as China's third-quarter GDP. 

Asian markets will be glued to their seats and eyes on screens as China reports its third-quarter GDP today, while otherwise, focus has been elsewhere of late given the Brexit hysteria and entertainment factor that is the U.S. presidential race while its any ones guess as to what the Federal Reserve and BoJ intend to do with their policy before the year is out. 

China has been somewhat stabilizing since the start of the years debacle that was the Chinese stock market crash. The PBoC pulled out all of the stops post the crash and have actually been somewhat successful in decreasing the value of their currency to kick start the lackluster economy. Trade started to improve in the summer months when China logged stronger-than-expected trade data in August as imports unexpectedly climbed for the first time in nearly two years and the slump in exports abated. 

However, that was all short-lived as disappointing China trade data for September spurred fears that any signs of a recovery may actually be faltering. China's September exports actually fell 10 percent from a year earlier. This was far worse than expected, while imports unexpectedly shrank after picking up in August, confirming weaker demand both at home and abroad. Observers were also concerned over the latest depreciation in China's yuan currency that dropped to a fresh six-year low recently.

Economists see third-quarter growth stabilizing at a 6.7% pace year on year

Within the GDP report, key elements to look out for will include property and industrial numbers. Economists see third-quarter growth stabilizing at a 6.7% pace year on year. Quarter on quarter, markets are expecting a match of prior at 1.8%. 

AUD/USD levels

Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXStreet explained that technical readings in the 4 hours chart suggest that the pair may see a new leg higher during the upcoming sessions, "The 20 SMA has accelerated its advance, and maintains a strong upward slope below the current level, while technical indicators have turned fat within positive territory after correcting overbought conditions. The pair can go up to 0.7730, September high, where the first batch of sellers will probably surge."

Meanwhile, with spot trading at 0.7676, we can see next resistance ahead at 0.7678 (Daily High), 0.7692 (Yesterday's High), 0.7692 (Monthly High), 0.7697 (Daily Classic R1) and 0.7728 (Daily Classic R2). Support below can be found at 0.7676 (Weekly Classic R1), 0.7666 (Daily Open), 0.7666 (Hourly 20 EMA), 0.7665 (Daily Low) and 0.7661 (Daily Classic PP). 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.