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Canada: Key economic events ahead – CIBC

The Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) Research Team enlists key macro events due to be reported from Canada later today at 1230 GMT.

Key Quotes:

“May Retail sales

Harsh weather conditions kept shoppers away in April.

Early indications suggest that the following month saw sales speed ahead.

Led by a strong rebound in car purchases.

Even ex-autos reading should benefit from a return to more seasonable weather.

Rebound in retail sales will support a decent monthly GDP print, it's unlikely to be the beginning of a new trend.

The slower pace of job creation in 2018 combined with rising consumer borrowing rates will leave consumption providing less of a contribution to growth this year.

June Inflation

A surprise decline in ex-food and energy prices meant that May was the second consecutive soft reading. 

Rebound is in store.

With a fall in gasoline, look for headline prices to advance 0.1% NSA, leaving the annual rate accelerating to 2.4% from the 2.2% it has been tracking since April.

That said, the Bank of Canada's core common component measure should remain steady at 1.9% for the fifth straight month.”

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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