CAD steadies as markets sabilize, USD/CAD risks tilt lower – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session and consolidating yesterday’s gains as markets stabilize and investors await developments, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

Technicals point to further USD/CAD losses

"Speaking in Davos, PM Carney reiterated his perspectives on the changing global landscape and the passing of the 'rules-based international order' that compels Canada to forge new relationships. Surging commodity prices, led by metals, are not an obvious plus for the CAD at this point as domestic terms of trade remain dampened by sluggish crude oil prices (metals, especially copper, gains are more supportive of the AUD and CLP, for example). "

"The CAD is consolidating yesterday’s gains via a bearish wedge/flag pattern on the hourly chart. The pattern keeps the primary focus on the risk of more USDCAD losses in the short run. Recall that the loss of USD support in the mid-1.38 range targets a measured more drop in funds to 1.3785/90; losses may extend to the low/mid-1.37s below there. Resistance is 1.3850/55 ahead of 1.3890/00."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.

USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold rebounds to near $3,900 as Fed hike bets cap upside

Gold price edges at the start of a new week, reclaiming $3,900 during the Asian session and reversing a part of Friday's heavy losses to its lowest level since October 2025. The upside potential, however, seems limited as elevated oil prices and inflation concerns keep Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table.

Zcash rebounds as ZODL founder now supports ending community grants

Zcash (ZEC) shows signs of recovery on Monday, extending gains above $1,250 as the Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL) founder, Josh Swihart, now supports the compromise proposal to end the 8% block reward share directed to Zcash Community Grants (ZCG).

Middle East War updates: Iran warns of expanded strikes against US despite progress in talks

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions

The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.