|

CAD firmer but underperforms G10 peers – Scotiabank

USD/CAD traded briefly on a 1.37 handle earlier for the first time since October, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Trend signals remain bearishly aligned

"Broader USD weakness is helping lift the CAD tone but the CAD finds itself at the foot of the overnight performance table, with a gain of just 0.25%, well below the advances seen among the core majors on the day. The CAD will certainly be able to take advantage of a generally weaker USD but weak global growth prospects will weigh on commodity prices (crude is down again today) and yield spreads over the USD remain wide."

"Both are an impediment to a stronger CAD performance. USD/CAD fair value is estimated at 1.3870 today. Intraday price signals indicate some better buying interest has developing for USDCAD below 1.38 but the broader trend in funds is weaker and the risk of a new, lower range developing is growing."

"The loss of support in the 1.3950/00 zone—the top of the new range perhaps—targets additional USD losses to 1.3745/0 (76.4% retracement of the USD’s late 2024/early 2025 rally). Losses could extend back to the September/October low at 1.3420 for a full retracement. Trend signals remain bearishly aligned across short-, medium– and long-term DMI studies."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.