|

CAD: A push through 1.36 should see spot gains – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed and continues to hold close to the levels seen in late trade Friday in the upper 1.35s. Governor Macklem is speaking in London this morning at 8.25ET, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.  

CAD holds tight range below key resistance at 1.3585/95

“Comments drop at 8.10ET and there will be a press conference after the event. The speech will cover global trade and remarks that do stray into the policy outlook are likely to reflect the tone of his comments after the last policy decision.”

“Mark Carney is dipping his toe into federal politics after all. He has been appointed as an economic advisor to the Liberal Party (so not, apparently a government position) yesterday with a brief to develop plans to boost growth and productivity.”

“Solid gains for the USD last week still lend a positive tone to the longer-term chart but the short-term picture is neutral, with the USD capped below noted resistance around 1.3585/95 still (200-day MA and USD range lows from earlier in the year). A push through 1.36 should see spot gains extend deeper into the 1.36s. Support is 1.3550 and 1.3470.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.