|

Bovespa Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Bovespa Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange Wave 3.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Next direction (lower degrees): Orange Wave 4.

Details: Orange wave 2 appears complete; orange wave 3 now developing.

Wave cancel/invalid level: 122486.

Market overview and current positioning

The Bovespa Index daily analysis indicates a bullish market structure driven by impulsive movement. The current development features orange wave 3 unfolding within a larger bullish trend identified as navy blue wave 1. Following the completion of orange wave 2, this phase typically marks the strongest upward movement in an impulsive sequence.

Traders can expect continued buying pressure during this wave, signaling sustained momentum. This wave structure is in line with early-stage bullish trends and reflects strong upward sentiment.

Upcoming wave expectations

After the completion of orange wave 3, a corrective wave – orange wave 4 – is projected to follow in the lower degrees. This would present a temporary pause within the broader uptrend. The invalidation level is set at 122486. If breached, this would invalidate the current bullish count and require a reevaluation of the market direction.

Until then, the market outlook remains positive. The impulsive trend mode suggests upward movement is likely to continue until wave 3 finishes.

Trading strategy and risk management

This wave count provides a structured technical framework for traders to identify potential entry points and manage risk accordingly. With wave 3 active and wave 4 ahead, market participants should monitor for signs of trend progression and prepare for potential pullbacks that offer new buying setups within the prevailing uptrend.

Bovespa Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Position: Gray Wave 3.

Next direction (lower degrees): Navy Blue Wave 1 (in progress).

Details: Gray wave 2 appears complete; navy blue wave 1 of gray wave 3 is now underway.

Wave cancel/invalid level: 122486.

Weekly market structure analysis

The Bovespa Index weekly chart outlines a strong bullish trend supported by impulsive price action. The current wave structure shows navy blue wave 1 progressing within the broader framework of gray wave 3. This follows the completion of gray wave 2, confirming that a new bullish phase is now in motion.

With the initiation of navy blue wave 1, the market has entered a key advancing stage. This wave generally represents the beginning of a larger upward trend, suggesting increased buying activity and momentum.

Forecast and wave progression

The next phase involves the continuation of navy blue wave 1, a key part of gray wave 3. Traders should note the invalidation level set at 122486 – a break below this threshold would negate the current wave count and call for a revised outlook.

As long as this level holds, the bullish trend is expected to remain intact. The impulsive pattern supports potential for extended upward movement, reflecting strong market sentiment.

Trading strategy and market outlook

This weekly analysis gives a long-term view of the market, showing that the uptrend is still in its early stages. The wave count provides a roadmap for identifying opportunities and managing risks. As navy blue wave 1 develops, the focus remains on upward progression with attention on the 122486 invalidation level as a critical support zone.

Bovespa Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1900 as USD recovers

EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day, below 1.1900 in the European session on Thursday. A modest rebound in the US Dollar is weighing on the pair, despite an upbeat market mood. Traders keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further trading impetus. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses as reduced March Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold languishes near the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session on Thursday. The precious metal, however, lacks follow-through selling amid mixed cues and currently trades above the $5,050 level, well within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.

Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.