|

BoJ's Tamura: Expects gradual path for interest rate hikes

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Naoki Tamura crossed the wires during the Asian session on Thursday, saying that the path towards ending the easy policy is still very long.

Key Quotes:

Japan's neutral rate is likely to be around 1% at the minimum.

Will carefully examine the pros and cons of exiting easy policy.

Must push up short-term rates at least to around 1% by latter half of our long-term forecast period through fiscal 2026, to stably achieve 2% inflation target.

Must raise short-term rates in several stages while scrutinising how economy, inflation respond to such steps.

Will keep close eye out on financial market moves and their impact on economy, prices.

Must raise rates at appropriate timing and in several stages.

Pace at which markets expect boj to hike rates is very slow, hiking at such pace could further heighten upward inflation risk.

Expect consumption to rise moderately thanks in part to reversal of one-sided, sharp Yen falls.

Likelihood of japan sustainably achieving BoJ’s price target heightening further.

Personally see upward inflation risk heightening.

Market Reaction:

The hawkish remarks reaffirm market expectations for an additional interest rate hike by the BoJ in 2024 and offer some support to the Japanese Yen (JPY), capping the USD/JPY pair's recovery from a multi-month low near the 143.00 mark.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains above 0.7200 after China's trade data

AUD/USD sits above 0.7200 in the Asian session on Tuesday, near its highest level since May 14. The US Dollar stays under pressure as a rallying Japanese Yen outweighs support from hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. This, along with firming expectations for another RBA rate hike later this month, acts as a tailwind for the Aussie. However, mixed China trade balance data keep the pair restricted.

USD/JPY stabilizes at around 154.00 as markets assess BoJ outlook

USD/JPY fluctuates at around 154.00 in the American session on Tuesday after rebounding from the six-month low it touched below 153.00 earlier in the day. Nevertheless, the upside attempts resemble technical corrections for now as Japan's upbeat wage growth data and Q2 GDP revision cement bets on a BoJ rate hike next week and continue to support the Japanese Yen.

Gold holds around $4,400, but for how long?
Gold (XAU/USD) remains on the back foot during American trading hours on Tuesday, even as the US Dollar (USD) remains on the defensive. Rising Oil prices and expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike weigh on the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,400 after reaching an intraday high near $4,443.
Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to macro signals amid changing derivatives narrative
Bitcoin’s (BTC) sensitivity to US economic data has become increasingly evident this year. As the market approaches several important data dumps this week, BTC traders are keenly aware of the significance just like their counterparts in TradFi. And just like the stock market, crypto traders are focused squarely on the US central bank's interest rate policy.
Europe in focus: September 2026
Six major net contributors demanded substantial cuts to the European Commission’s proposed 2028–2034 EU budget. Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Austria, Finland and Sweden issued a joint position on 27 August calling for the nearly €2 trillion proposal to be reduced by several hundred billion euros and rejecting additional common EU borrowing.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.