BoC: Global developments the key to future decisions – RBC CM


After today’s meeting, the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its interest rate unchanged at 1.75% as most expected. Josh Nye, Senior Economist at RBC Economics Research point out the central bank statement offered no direction regarding future policy moves and he warned that gobal developments hold the key to future decisions.

Key Quotes: 

“Since its July meeting, conversation has shifted from ‘if’ to ‘when’ the BoC will join its many global peers in lowering interest rates. But that evolution wasn’t obvious in today’s policy statement, which was more neutral than expected and lent support to the Canadian dollar.”

“Global developments and their impact on Canada’s economy will receive “particular attention” when the BoC updates its forecasts in October. The combined ½ ppt add to growth from business investment and net trade in its 2020 GDP forecast looks vulnerable to a downward revision.”

 “An economy that is operating close to full capacity (thanks to a surprisingly strong Q2 GDP print), with inflation on target and wage growth picking up, has kept the BoC from committing to a future rate cut (or perhaps it’s Governor Poloz’s reluctance to provide any forward guidance).”

“The bank’s comments on the global outlook suggest the door is open to a rate cut. Our forecast assumes a move in January. We’ve been flagging growing risk of an earlier cut, which has only been diminished slightly by today’s statement.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

Bears ignore Aussie holidays, cheer coronavirus news at fresh multi-week low near 0.6815

AUD/USD drops to 0.6814, with an intra-day low of 0.6811, during the early Monday morning in Asia. The fears of China’s coronavirus outbreak are dominating the market’s risk sentiment off-late.

AUD/USD News

USD/JPY: Coronavirus bearish gap breaks below 109

USD/JPY has dropped heavily in the open, breaking below the 109 handle to print a fresh low of 108.88 as traders prepare for a risk-off week when considering the implications of the Coronavirus. 

USD/JPY News

Are you anxious about Coronavirus? Well, so are the markets

There's so much we don't know about Coronavirus, which increases the level of concern from public health officials, you & I as well as the markets and we can expect a risk-off start to the week ahead of a pretty major schedule.

Read more

WTI: Bears pile in on Coronavirus and ME threats

WTI is starting out the day on the offer, opening in a bearish gap and extending the bear trend to a low of $52.19 and lowest levels since October. Global growth and risk-off themes are affecting the price.

Oil News

GBP/USD: 50-day SMA, 61.8% Fibonacci question sellers

Cable stays weak while declining to the intra-day low of 1.3068 by the press time of Monday’s Asian session. The pair registers 3 days losing streak while also forming a lower high pattern if observed its moves from Dec 2019 top.

GBP/USD News

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures