|

AUD/USD: Upward momentum is building – UOB Group

Price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, expected to be between 0.6185 and 0.6230. In the longer run, upward momentum is building, but AUD must close above 0.6245 before a move to 0.6300 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Above 0.6245, AUD can move to 0.6300

24-HOUR VIEW: "Following AUD rise to 0.6247 two days ago, we noted yesterday that it 'seems to have enough momentum to retest the 0.6245 level.' We pointed out that 'given the overbought conditions, the chance of a sustained rise above this major resistance is not high.' Our assessment was not wrong, as AUD rose to 0.6248, pulling back to close lower by 0.22% at 0.6213. The current price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, expected to be between 0.6185 and 0.6230."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We noted that yesterday (16 Jan, spot at 0.6225) that 'upward momentum is building.' However, we pointed out that AUD 'must close above 0.6245 before a move to 0.6300 can be expected.' We also pointed out that 'the probability of AUD closing above 0.6245 will remain intact as long as the ‘strong support’ level, currently at 0.6170, is not breached.” Our assessment remains unchanged."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 due to cautious trade before FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD holds ground after four days of little losses, trading around 1.1770 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains steady as US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee December Meeting Minutes due later in the day, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold gains on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Solana risks correction within descending wedge as bearish bets rise

Solana hovers above $120 at press time on Tuesday after a nearly 2% decline on Monday. The SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds see renewed interest after recording their lowest weekly inflow last week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).