|

AUD/USD turns red as Australia's Q3 GDP prints below estimates

  • AUD/USD is reporting losses following a below-forecast Australian GDP data. 
  • Australia's economy grew at a slower rate in the third quarter. 
  • The data validates the market view that the RBA will cut rates to 0.5% next year. 

AUD/USD fell more than 10 pips to hit a session low of 0.6838 after the official data showed the Australian economy expanded at a slower pace in the third quarter.

The gross domestic product growth slowed to 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in the three months to September from the previous quarter's 0.5%. While the quarter-on-quarter figure missed the estimate of 0.5% by a narrow margin, the annualized GDP ticked higher to 1.7% from 1.4%, as expected.

Further, the final consumption expenditure rose just 0.3% quarter-on-quarter compared to the 1% growth seen in the preceding quarter.

The dismal data validates the market view that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will have to provide extra stimulus in 2020 to gradually push the unemployment rate down, generate better wages and household income growth and eventually lift inflation into the target band.  The central bank has delivered three rate cuts this year and is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points to a new record low of 0.75% in February. 

AUD/USD, therefore, has come under pressure following the GDP data. The losses could be extended further with fresh trade uncertainty and risk aversion in the equity markets. 

US President Donald Trump said overnight that he may delay a trade deal with China till after the 2020 presidential election. The US stocks dropped in response to Trump's comments with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by more than 1%. At press time, the futures on the S&P 500 are trading flat.

What's more, the news is crossing the wires via Reuters that the US House has passed a bill demanding sanctions on senior Chinese officials. The escalating tensions on the political front may further complicate the trade negotiations. 

The AUD/USD pair is currently trading near 0.6840, representing marginal losses on the day.

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6842
Today Daily Change0.0005
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open0.6844
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6816
Daily SMA500.6807
Daily SMA1000.6818
Daily SMA2000.6919
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6863
Previous Daily Low0.6814
Previous Weekly High0.68
Previous Weekly Low0.6754
Previous Monthly High0.6929
Previous Monthly Low0.6754
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6844
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6833
Daily Pivot Point S10.6818
Daily Pivot Point S20.6791
Daily Pivot Point S30.6769
Daily Pivot Point R10.6867
Daily Pivot Point R20.6889
Daily Pivot Point R30.6916

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine extends ETH buying streak, says long-term outlook remains positive

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its weekly purchase of the top altcoin last week after acquiring 45,759 ETH.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.