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AUD/USD tumbles to near 0.6460 as RBA ditches 50 bps rate hike pattern

  • AUD/USD has dropped sharply to near 0.6460 on RBA’s 25 bps rate hike announcement.
  • The extent of the 25 bps rate hike by the RBA is less than the projections of 50 bps.
  • The DXY has surrendered most of its intraday gains amid lower consensus for the US NFP data.

The AUD/USD pair as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has hiked its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps). The extent of the rate hike is less than the projections of institutional investors. This has pushed the OCR to 2.6%.

After announcing a rate hike of 25 bps, the RBA has inched more towards its target rate of 3.85%. The market participants favoured hiking the interest rate by 50 bps but a quarter-to-a-percent rate hike was also on the preferred list. RBA Governor Philip Lowe also cited the option of 25 bps in the discussion list, as drafted in RBA monetary policy minutes.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is eyeing more weakness below the immediate cushion of 111.50. The vulnerable performance of the DXY banks upon the poor reading of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for August. The economic PMI data declined to 50.9 vs. the expectations of 52.2 and the prior release of 52.8. Also, the US ISM New Orders Index that illustrates the forward demand landed significantly lower to 47.1 against the projections of 49.6 and the former figure of 51.3.

Going forward, investors will focus on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which will release on Friday. The employment generation data is seen lower at 250k vs. the last reading of 315k. As per the consensus, the job creation process in the US economy has slowed down led after various firms ditched the recruitment process for the remaining 2023. While the Unemployment Rate is seen steady at 3.7%.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6504
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open0.6515
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6647
Daily SMA500.6825
Daily SMA1000.69
Daily SMA2000.7072
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6522
Previous Daily Low0.6402
Previous Weekly High0.6538
Previous Weekly Low0.6363
Previous Monthly High0.6916
Previous Monthly Low0.6363
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6476
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6448
Daily Pivot Point S10.6438
Daily Pivot Point S20.636
Daily Pivot Point S30.6318
Daily Pivot Point R10.6558
Daily Pivot Point R20.66
Daily Pivot Point R30.6677

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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