|

AUD/USD trades at weekly lows below 0.71 ahead of China PMI data

  • US Dollar Index continues to recover this week's losses.
  • AiG Performance of Manufacturing Index improves in February. 
  • Coming up: Caixin Manufacturing PMI data from China.

Following yesterday's drop, the AUD/USD pair extended its slide and failed to hold above the 0.71 handle on Thursday pressured by the broad-based USD strength in the second half of the day. As of writing, the pair is trading at 0.7095, losing 0.6% on a daily basis.

Earlier today, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis in its first estimate announced that the real GDP is expected to expand by 2.6% on a yearly basis in the fourth quarter. Additionally, the ISM-Chicago's PMI rose to its highest level since December 2017 at 64.7 to help the greenback preserve its strength. The US Dollar Index, which slumped to its lowest level in more than three weeks at 95.82, rebounded decisively and was last seen adding 0.12% on the day at 96.22. Furthermore, a more-than-1% increase in the 10-year US T-bond yield also supported the DXY's recovery.

Meanwhile, the Australian Industry Group (AIG) just recently reported that the Performance of Manufacturing Index improved to 54 in February from 52.5 in January but failed to help the AUD recover its losses. Later in the Asian session, Caixin Manufacturing PMI from China, which dropped below the 50 mark in January to show a contraction in the business activity in the manufacturing sector, will be watched closely by the participants.

Technical levels to consider

AUD/USD

Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 0.7149
    Daily SMA50: 0.7133
    Daily SMA100: 0.7165
    Daily SMA200: 0.7257
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 0.7199
    Previous Daily Low: 0.7127
    Previous Weekly High: 0.7207
    Previous Weekly Low: 0.707
    Previous Monthly High: 0.7296
    Previous Monthly Low: 0.6684
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 0.7155
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 0.7172
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 0.711
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 0.7083
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 0.7039
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 0.7182
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 0.7226
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 0.7254

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.