AUD/USD to end the year at around 0.66 before tracking higher over 2024 – NAB

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Economists at the National Australia Bank analyze Australian economic outlook

Inflation is now clearly past its peak for this cycle in Australia

We now see a cash rate peak of 4.6% in February, with the RBA staying on hold until late 2024. That said, our broad outlook remains unchanged with below trend GDP growth (1.4% and 1.7% over 2023 and 2024, respectively) and an ongoing easing in the labour market as slower growth in labour demand is unable to fully absorb still strong population growth.

The moderation in inflation is expected to continue, but be bumpy, with the underlying rate ending 2024 at 4.5% before easing to 3.3% by end-2024.

We continue to see the Aussie ending the year at around 0.66 before tracking higher over 2024 – ending 2024 at around 0.73.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD hovers around daily lows near 1.3450

GBP/USD trades with decent losses on Thursday, revisiting the 1.3450 zone. Cable’s resumption of the selling interest comes after two daily advances in a row and follows the improved sentiment around the Greenback amid fresh concerns in the Middle East.

EUR/USD slips back to two-day lows near 1.1510

EUR/USD faces some renewed downside pressure and retests the low 1.1500s in the latter part of Thursday’s NA session. The move lower in spot comes after two daily advances in a row and follows the fresh bid bias in the US Dollar amid the re-emergence of some effervescence in the Middle East. Moving forward, US NFP data will take centre stage on Friday.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE sell-off seems unstoppable despite renewed retail interest

Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading under dominant selling pressure on Thursday, hovering below $0.0700, a recent support-turned-resistance level. The meme coin has shed 3% of its value in the first week of August, against a backdrop of heavier selling pressure in previous months since May highs around $0.1186.

The Fed is doing the exact opposite of what it should be doing

About the Yen: The WSJ has a front-page story about how the Fed is doing the exact opposite of what it should be doing—lending dollars to Japan to buy yen. “Put simply: America is printing dollars so Japan can buy yen.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.