AUD/USD technical analysis: Bulls likely to struggle near 200-hour EMA/38.2% Fibo. confluence resistance


   •  The AUD/USD pair built on its weekly bullish gap and climbed to multi-day tops, around the 0.6935 region during the early European session.

   •  A surprise election victory for the country's incumbent government turned out to be one of the key factors fueling the short-covering move. 

Sustained move beyond a confluence support - comprising of 100-hour SMA and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 0.7068-0.6862 recent slump was seen as a key trigger for bullish traders, setting the stage for further intraday positive momentum.

Meanwhile, technical indicators have been gaining positive traction on the 4-hourly chart but are already pointing to slightly overbought conditions on the 1-hourly chart. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart maintained their bearish bias, warranting some caution for bullish traders.

Hence, any subsequent intraday positive momentum seems more likely to confront a stiff resistance/take a brief pause near the 0.6945-50 region, which marks another confluence region comprising of 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and 200-hour EMA.

AUD/USD 1-hourly chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6933
Today Daily Change 0.0071
Today Daily Change % 1.03
Today daily open 0.6862
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.7
Daily SMA50 0.7069
Daily SMA100 0.7101
Daily SMA200 0.7149
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6898
Previous Daily Low 0.6862
Previous Weekly High 0.7003
Previous Weekly Low 0.6862
Previous Monthly High 0.7206
Previous Monthly Low 0.6988
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6876
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6884
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.685
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6838
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6814
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6886
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.691
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6922

 

 

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