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AUD/USD surrenders modest intraday gains, seems vulnerable below 0.7200 mark

  • AUD/USD struggled to capitalize on its modest intraday gains amid an extension of the USD rally.
  • Aggressive Fed rate hike bets, mostly upbeat US macro data lifted the USD to over a two-year high.
  • The risk-off mood, weaker iron ore prices further collaborated to cap the resources-linked aussie.

The AUD/USD pair surrendered a major part of its intraday gains and retreated below the 0.7200 mark, closer to the daily low during the early North American session.

The pair attracted some buying on Tuesday, though the intraday positive move ran out of steam near the 0.7230 region amid the uninterrupted US dollar rally to the highest level since March 2020. Expectations that the Fed would hike interest rates by 50 bps at each of its next four meetings in May, June, July and September continued underpinning the buck.

Adding to this, the risk-off mood further benefitted the greenback's relative safe-haven status and acted as a headwind for the perceived riskier aussie. The prospects for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed, along with prolonged COVID-19 lockdowns in China, fueled concerns about slowing global economic growth and weighed on investors' sentiment.

On the economic data front, the headline US Durable Goods Orders fell short of market expectations and increased by 0.8% MoM in March. This, however, marked a solid rebound from the previous month's upwardly revised reading of -1.7%. Adding to this, orders excluding transportation items climbed 1.1% against 0.6% expected and continued lending support to the USD.

Apart from this, an extended slump in iron ore prices further collaborate to cap any meaningful upside for the resources-linked Australian dollar. The fundamental backdrop seems tilted firmly in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for an extension of the AUD/USD pair's recent sharp pullback from the 0.7660 region, or the YTD peak touched earlier this month.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7188
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.15
Today daily open0.7177
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7434
Daily SMA500.7358
Daily SMA1000.7264
Daily SMA2000.7294
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7257
Previous Daily Low0.7134
Previous Weekly High0.7459
Previous Weekly Low0.7234
Previous Monthly High0.7541
Previous Monthly Low0.7165
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7181
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.721
Daily Pivot Point S10.7122
Daily Pivot Point S20.7067
Daily Pivot Point S30.6999
Daily Pivot Point R10.7245
Daily Pivot Point R20.7312
Daily Pivot Point R30.7368

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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