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AUD/USD struggles near multi-month lows, below mid-0.6800s

  • The RBA minutes showed consensus over further monetary easing and weighed on the Aussie.
  • A subdued USD demand extended some support and helped limit deeper losses, at least for now.
  • Investors now look forward to the US housing market data for some short-term trading impetus.

The AUD/USD pair now seems to have entered a bearish consolidation phase and was seen oscillating in a narrow trading band below mid-0.6800s, or 5-1/2 month lows.

The pair extended its recent pullback from levels beyond the key 0.70 psychological mark and remained under some selling pressure for the fifth consecutive session, also marking its sixth day of a negative move in the previous seven.

Tuesday's slide during the Asian session came after minutes of the latest RBA monetary policy meeting held on June 4 showed policymakers saying that further monetary easing was more likely in the coming month.

The explicit signal for yet another interest rate cut, coupled with fears of a further escalation in the US-China trade tensions further dented the already weaker sentiment surrounding the China-proxy Australian Dollar.

The bearish pressure now seems to have receded, at least for the time being, amid a mildly softer tone surrounding the US Dollar, which was slightly undermined by Monday's dismal Empire State Manufacturing Index.

In fact, manufacturing activity in the New York region posted a record drop in June and fell into contraction territory for the first time in more than two years, also marking its weakest level since October 2016.

Investors might also be reluctant to place any aggressive bets ahead of the next big event risk - the latest FOMC monetary policy update on Wednesday, which might further collaborate towards helping limit deeper losses. 

Tuesday's US economic docket features the release of housing market data - housing starts and building permits, which will be looked upon for some short-term trading impetus later during the early North-American session.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6839
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.19
Today daily open0.6852
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.693
Daily SMA500.6998
Daily SMA1000.7058
Daily SMA2000.7114
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6885
Previous Daily Low0.6848
Previous Weekly High0.7009
Previous Weekly Low0.6861
Previous Monthly High0.7062
Previous Monthly Low0.6862
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6862
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6871
Daily Pivot Point S10.6838
Daily Pivot Point S20.6825
Daily Pivot Point S30.6801
Daily Pivot Point R10.6875
Daily Pivot Point R20.6899
Daily Pivot Point R30.6912

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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