|

AUD/USD risks a visit of 0.7300 – UOB

According to FX Strategists at UOB Group, the Aussie Dollar could slip back to the 0.7300 handle in the next weeks.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “While we expected a lower AUD yesterday, the rapid decline that took out the strong 0.7380 support was not exactly anticipated. The pressure is still clearly on the downside but oversold conditions suggest a slower pace of decline and any weakness could be limited to the next support at 0.7330 (0.7350 is already quite a strong support). Resistance is at 0.7390 followed by 0.7415. The latter level is acting as a very strong resistance level now and at this stage, is expected to be strong enough to cap any intraday rebound”.

Next 1-3 weeks: “We highlighted yesterday that the “upward pressure has eased” and AUD has likely moved into a consolidation phase. The subsequent outsized decline that hit an overnight low of 0.7364 came as a surprise. This level is just above our expected 0.7350/0.7480 consolidation range and in view of the rapid pace of decline; a move below 0.7350 would not be surprising. That said, we are not convinced that the current weakness is the start of a fresh bearish phase even though the current soft patch could extend lower and test the major 0.7300 support. On the upside, only a move above 0.7440 would indicate that the current weakness has stabilized”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.