|

AUD/USD reverses early gains, flirting with lows near 0.7400 handle

The AUD/USD pair reversed upbeat Australian retail sales data-led tepid gains and has now drifted into negative territory amid weaker commodity prices.

Currently flirting with 0.7400 handle, the pair initially built on to Thursday's recovery, led by upbeat Chinese manufacturing PMI, and touched a session peak level of 0.7433 after Australia's monthly retail sales surpassed expectations and came-in to show a growth of 0.5% m-o-m as compared to 0.3% growth expected and slightly lower than a growth of 0.6% recorded in the previous month.

The pair, however, quickly turned lower as the prevalent weak sentiment surrounding commodity markets and Asian equities is weighing on riskier / higher-yielding currencies - like the Aussie, which otherwise might have gained traction in wake of a broad based US Dollar pull-back. 

Market's key focus on Friday would be on the keenly watched US monthly jobs report, scheduled for release later during NA session, which would determine the next leg of directional move for the US Dollar and eventually provide fresh impetus for the pair's near-term trajectory. In the meantime, broader market risk sentiment, especially in commodity space, would be a key drive for the pair's movement heading into the big event risk. 

Technical levels to watch

On a sustained weakness below 0.7400 handle, the pair is likely to drift towards 0.7470 support (yesterday's low) below which a fresh bout of selling pressure is likely to drag it further towards its next major support near 0.7435-30 region. On the upside, momentum back above 0.7420 level now seems to lift the pair beyond session peak towards 0.7445 resistance area en-route an important resistance near 0.7480 region.
 

    1. R3 0.7489
    2. R2 0.7455
    3. R1 0.7437
  1. PP 0.7404
    1. S1 0.7385
    2. S2 0.7352
    3. S3 0.7333

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers further from one-month low set on Friday, eyes mid-1.1800s on weaker USD

The EUR/USD pair is seen building on Friday's late recovery from the 1.1750-1.1740 region, or a nearly one-month trough, and gaining some follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 1.1835 area during the Asian session and is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3500 amid tariff confusion

The GBP/USD pair gains traction to around 1.3520 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar faces some selling pressure against the Cable as tariff uncertainty lingers. Traders will take more cues from the US Producer Price Index report for January, which will be published later on Friday. 

Gold rallies above $5,150 as Trump’s tariffs boost haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $5,150 in the Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and uncertainty, which boost safe-haven flows. US-Iran geopolitical risks also linger, supporting the Gold price upside. 

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Liberation day take two, the tariff machine just changed gears

Let me caveat this from the outset. What we are watching is first-order mechanics, not the grand macro endgame. This is the market’s immediate reflex to a 15% Trump tariff levy dressed up as judicial drama. The Supreme Court blocked Trump tarrif hammer. The White House came back with a scalpel.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.