|

AUD/USD reports gains despite the stock market drop

  • AUD/USD is flashing green despite an 800 point drop in US stocks, 4 percent decline in the Nikkei.
  • The corrective rally could gather pace above yesterday's high of 0.7130.
  • An above-forecast US CPI could put a bid under the Aussie.

The AUD/USD is reporting moderate gains in Asia, despite the risk aversion in the stock markets.

At press time, the pair is trading at a session high of 0.7080 - up 0.40 percent on the day, having clocked a low of 0.7046 earlier today.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tanked 800 points yesterday, likely due to rising bond yields. As of writing, the S&P 500 futures are down 17 points or 0.62 percent.

Further, the risk aversion has hit the Asian shores. For instance, Japan's Nikkei is down 4 percent, as risk aversion has pushed JPY higher across the board. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite has dropped to four-year lows.

The USD/CNY pair also rose to fresh two-month highs a few minutes before pressure. Still, the Aussie dollar is showing resilience.

Looking forward, the corrective rally in the Australian currency will likely gather pace if the resistance at 0.7130 (high of yesterday's bearish outside-day candle) is convincingly scaled.

A below-forecast US consumer price index (CPI), due for release at 12:30 GMT, would validate the argument put forward by Fed's Kaplan that inflation is unlikely to get out of hand and the bank may not need to push rates above neutral and could yield a move above 0.7130.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 0.7085 (Sept. 11 low), 0.7130 (previous day's high), 0.7227 (5-day exponential moving average)

Support: 0.7041 (Oct. 8 low), 0.70 (psychological level), 0.6893 (September 2015 low)

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBullishNeutral Shrinking
1HBearishNeutral High
4HBullishNeutral High
1DStrongly BearishOversold Expanding
1WBearishOversold High

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays depressed near 1.1850 ahead of German ZEW

EUR/USD remains in the red near 1.1850 in the European session on Tuesday. A broad US Dollar bullish consolidation combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined ahead of the German ZEW sentiment survey. 

GBP/USD drops below 1.3600 after weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD is seeing a fresh selling wave, giving up the 1.3600 level in Tuesday's European trading. The United Kingdom employment data showed worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month. This narrative is weighing heavily on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold pares intraday losses; keeps the red above $4,900 amid receding safe-haven demand

Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day and dives to over a one-week low, around the $4,858 area, heading into the European session on Tuesday. 

Pi Network rallies ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network trades above $0.1800 at the time of writing on Tuesday, recording nearly 5% gains so far. On-chain data indicate that large wallet investors, commonly known as whales, have accumulated approximately 4 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.