|

AUD/USD remains under selling pressure around 0.6550, eyes on Australian employment data

  • AUD/USD extends its downside around 0.6550 on the firmer USD. 
  • US Retail Sales came in at 0.6% MoM in December vs. 0.3% prior, beating expectations.
  • The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintains its cautious stance and forecasts only two rate cuts this year. 
  • The Australian Unemployment Rate and Employment Change for December will be the highlights on Thursday. 

The AUD/USD pair remains under selling pressure during the early Asian session on Thursday. The downtick of the pair is driven by the discouraging Chinese data and the stronger US Dollar (USD) broadly. AUD/USD bounces off the fresh six-week lows near 0.6520 and currently trades around 0.6552, gaining 0.04% on the day. 

Data from the Commerce Department reported on Wednesday that US Retail Sales rose 0.6% MoM in December from 0.3% in November, better than the estimation of 0.4%. Meanwhile, the Retail Sales Control Group grew 0.8% MoM in December from 0.5% in the previous reading, stronger than expected. 

The Greenback gains traction for the fourth consecutive day as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut expectations ease. The US central bank seems not yet sure that inflation will reach 2% and Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Tuesday that any rate cuts this year should be done "methodically and carefully.”

On the Aussie front, the current cash rate sits at 4.34% after a hike of 25 basis points (bps) at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) November meeting. The RBA maintains its cautious stance and forecasts only two rate cuts this year, whereas the US financial markets have priced in six rate cuts by the end of the year. Investors await the Australian labor data on Thursday for fresh impetus. The Unemployment Rate is estimated to remain at 3.9% for December. 

Later on Thursday, market players will closely monitor the Australian employment data, including the Unemployment Rate and Employment Change for December. On the US docket, Housing Starts, Building Permits, weekly Initial Claims, and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index will be due. 

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6552
Today Daily Change-0.0030
Today Daily Change %-0.46
Today daily open0.6582
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6744
Daily SMA500.6638
Daily SMA1000.6516
Daily SMA2000.6583
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6663
Previous Daily Low0.6576
Previous Weekly High0.6735
Previous Weekly Low0.6647
Previous Monthly High0.6871
Previous Monthly Low0.6526
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.661
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.663
Daily Pivot Point S10.6551
Daily Pivot Point S20.652
Daily Pivot Point S30.6464
Daily Pivot Point R10.6638
Daily Pivot Point R20.6694
Daily Pivot Point R30.6725

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases below 1.1700 after EU inflation data

EUR/USD has come under mild selling pressure below 1.1700 in European trading hours on Wednesday. The pair faces headwinds from softer Eurozone inflation data, which weigh on the Euro. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles ahead of US jobs report. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 ahead of US data

GBP/USD loses ground to gyrate around 1.3500 on Wednesday after registering modest gains in the previous session. The pair treads water as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ADP Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index due later in the day.

Gold remains depressed below $4,500 as key US macro data looms

Gold trims a part of its intraday losses, though it retains its negative bias through the first half of the European session on Wednesday and remains well below the $4,500 psychological mark. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the underlying bullish sentiment turns out to be a key factor that prompted some profit-taking around the precious metal. 

ADP Employment Report set to show moderate rebound in December after November’s drop

The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute will release its monthly Employment Change Report for December on Wednesday. The ADP report is expected to show that the United States economy created 45,000 jobs in the last month of 2025, to offset the 32.000 net employment loss seen in November.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.