|

AUD/USD remains on the defensive around the mid-0.6500s ahead of US PPI, Fed decision

  • AUD/USD remains on the defensive around 0.6558 ahead of the key event.
  • US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November rose 0.1% MoM and 3.1% YoY, matching expectations.
  • Chinese government emphasized the importance of industrial policy next year, which disappointed investors seeking big stimulus to boost growth.
  • Traders will closely monitor the US PPI and Fed rate decision.

The AUD/USD pair trades in negative territory for the fourth consecutive day around the mid-0.6500s during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The pair faces a rejection after reaching the 0.6600 mark amid modest US Dollar (USD) strength. The Federal Reserve will announce the interest rate decision on Wednesday, with no change in rates expected. The pair currently trades near 0.6558, down 0.02% on the day.

Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed on Tuesday that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November rose 0.1% MoM and 3.1% YoY. Both figures aligned with market consensus. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, climbed by 0.3% MoM and 4.0% YoY, as expected.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to hold interest rates steady for the third consecutive time at its December meeting on Wednesday. The market will closely watch Fed signals for the future. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is anticipated to push back against expectations for lower interest rates while acknowledging that some progress against inflation is being achieved.

On the Aussie front, Chinese Communist Party leaders began a closed-door meeting on Monday to discuss economic targets and stimulus measures for 2024 and the meeting ended on Tuesday. According to a readout from China's annual economic work conference, no major fiscal stimulus measures were proposed.

Instead, the Chinese government emphasized the importance of technical innovation and artificial intelligence (AI), which disappointed investors seeking big stimulus to boost growth. This, in turn, weighs on the China-proxy Australian Dollar (AUD) and acts as a headwind for the AUD/USD pair.

Looking ahead, market players will keep an eye on the US Producer Price Index (PPI) due later on Wednesday. The annual PPI figure is expected to ease from 1.3% to 1.0% in November, while the PPI rate ex Food & Energy is estimated to drop from 2.4% to 2.2% in November. Later on Wednesday, the Fed will end the monetary policy meeting. Traders will examine Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments after the meeting.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6557
Today Daily Change-0.0010
Today Daily Change %-0.15
Today daily open0.6567
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6571
Daily SMA500.645
Daily SMA1000.6464
Daily SMA2000.6576
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6583
Previous Daily Low0.655
Previous Weekly High0.6691
Previous Weekly Low0.6526
Previous Monthly High0.6677
Previous Monthly Low0.6318
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6563
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6571
Daily Pivot Point S10.6551
Daily Pivot Point S20.6534
Daily Pivot Point S30.6517
Daily Pivot Point R10.6584
Daily Pivot Point R20.66
Daily Pivot Point R30.6617

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.