|

AUD/USD remains capped under the 0.6500 mark following RBA’s Bullock speech

  • AUD/USD remains on the defensive near 0.6491 amid the firmer USD. 
  • US Initial Jobless Claims rose by 218K from a week earlier, stronger than expected. 
  • RBA’s Bullock said the board is focused on bringing inflation down, and the evidence of inflation is encouraging.

The AUD/USD pair extends its downside and holds below the 0.6500 mark during the early Asian session on Friday. The hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and a stronger US Dollar (USD) weigh on the pair. AUD/USD currently trades around 0.6491, losing 0.01% on the day. 

On Thursday, the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims fell to 218K for the week ended February 3 from the previous week of 227K, better than the estimation of 220K. The report indicated ongoing labor market resilience. Continuing Claims decreased by 23K to 1.891M in the week ended January 27. Finally, Wholesale inventories of merchant wholesalers lifted 0.4% MoM and were down 2.7% YoY.

Many Fed officials signaled that they were in no rush to lower borrowing costs until they were confident that inflation would return to the 2% target. On Thursday, Fed Richmond President Thomas Barkin reiterated that policymakers have time to be patient about the timing of rate cuts due to a solid labor market and ongoing disinflation. The US central bank has raised its policy rate by 525 basis points (bps) to the current 5.25% to 5.50% range since March 2022.

Late Thursday, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock stated that the central bank is focused on bringing inflation down, and the evidence of inflation is encouraging. Bullock emphasized that the board hasn’t ruled out a further interest rate hike but neither has it ruled it in.

Dallas Fed L. Logan is set to speak later on Friday. In the absence of top-tier economic data from the US and Australia, risk sentiment will likely play a crucial role in the AUD/USD pair.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6494
Today Daily Change-0.0025
Today Daily Change %-0.38
Today daily open0.6519
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.658
Daily SMA500.6654
Daily SMA1000.6537
Daily SMA2000.6574
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.654
Previous Daily Low0.6516
Previous Weekly High0.6624
Previous Weekly Low0.6502
Previous Monthly High0.6839
Previous Monthly Low0.6525
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6525
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6531
Daily Pivot Point S10.651
Daily Pivot Point S20.65
Daily Pivot Point S30.6485
Daily Pivot Point R10.6535
Daily Pivot Point R20.655
Daily Pivot Point R30.6559

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).