|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Tests channel breakdown near 0.6400

  • AUD/USD faces selling pressure near 0.6400 as the US Dollar remains resilient.
  • Australian Q2 GDP outperformed expectations despite tight interest rate policy.
  • AUD/USD tests the breakdown of the sideways channel and is expected to resume its downside journey.

The AUD/USD pair faces selling interest near the round-level resistance of 0.6400 in the late European session. The upside in the Aussie asset remains restricted due to the resilient US Dollar and China’s vulnerable economic outlook.

The Australian Dollar witnessed some buying early Wednesday due to upbeat Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the April-June quarter. The economy grew at a steady pace of 0.4%, a higher-than-expected growth rate of 0.3%. On an annualized basis, Q2 GDP dropped to 2.1% from the Q1 growth rate of 2.4% but remained higher than expectations of 1.7%.

Meanwhile, investors await US ISM Services PMI for August, which will be published at 14:00 GMT. Analysts at TD Securities expect the US ISM Services PMI to hold steady at 52.7 in August.

AUD/USD tests the breakdown of the sideways channel near the round-level resistance of 0.6400 on a two-hour scale. The asset remains vulnerable as the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 0.6400 continues to act as a barrier for the Australian Dollar bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) rebounds into the 40.00-60.00 range while the downside bias remains firmer.

A fresh downside would appear if the Aussie asset dropped below August 17 low around 0.6360. This would expose the asset to the round-level support of 0.6300 followed by 03 November 2022 low at 0.6272.

On the contrary, a recovery move above August 15 high around 0.6522 will drive the asset to August 9 high at 0.6571. Breach of the latter will drive the asset towards August 10 high at 0.6616.

AUD/USD two-hour chart 

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6387
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open0.6379
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6451
Daily SMA500.6596
Daily SMA1000.6637
Daily SMA2000.6719
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6465
Previous Daily Low0.6358
Previous Weekly High0.6522
Previous Weekly Low0.6401
Previous Monthly High0.6724
Previous Monthly Low0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6399
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6424
Daily Pivot Point S10.6336
Daily Pivot Point S20.6293
Daily Pivot Point S30.6229
Daily Pivot Point R10.6443
Daily Pivot Point R20.6507
Daily Pivot Point R30.655

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps range near 1.1750 ahead of German/ EU PMI data

 EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting a bunch of top-tier economic data releases from Germany, Eurozone and the US. The immediate focus is on the German and Eurozone preliminary PMI data. 

When is the UK labor market report and how could it affect GBP/USD?

The UK Office for National Statistics will publish its labor market report at 07.00 GMT. GBP/USD trades in negative territory on the day in the lead up to the UK employment data. The pair loses ground as traders turn cautious ahead of the key US economic data, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales, and Purchasing Managers Index. 

Gold bulls move to the sidelines ahead of delayed US NFP report

Gold attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Tuesday and extends the overnight pullback from the $4,350 region, or the vicinity of the highest level since October 21, touched last week. The intraday downtick comes amid optimism over the Russia-Ukraine peace deal, which is seen undermining demand for the traditional safe-haven commodity. 

Sui Price Forecast: Sui slips below $1.50 as network demand and risk appetite wane

Sui remains under intense bearish pressure, extending losses by 1% at press time on Tuesday for the third straight day.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.