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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Rising wedge around four-month top probes bulls below 0.7550

  • AUD/USD picks up bids inside a bearish chart pattern heading into RBA.
  • Sluggish RSI, MACD and the wedge’s position around multi-day peak keep sellers hopeful.
  • 100-SMA adds to the downside filters ahead of the theoretical target.
  • RBA is expected to keep monetary policy rates unchanged, forward guidance eyed.

AUD/USD recovers early Asian losses around 0.7525 ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy decision on early Tuesday.

The Aussie pair’s rebound from a one-month-old support line the previous day portrayed a short-term rising wedge bearish chart pattern on the four-hour play. Also keeping the pair sellers hopeful is the stated formation’s place near the highest levels since July, as well as sluggish moves of the MACD and RSI lines.

However, the quote needs validation from the 100-SMA level of 0.7455, following a downside break of the wedge’s support near 0.7490, to confirm the bearish trajectory towards the theoretical target near 0.7390-80.

In a case where AUD/USD prices remain weak past 0.7380, the early October peaks near 0.7330 will be the key to watch.

Alternatively, further recoveries may aim for the 0.7550 level before hitting the resistance line of the bearish chart pattern around 0.7560.

If at all the AUD/USD bulls keep reins past 0.7560, the late June’s high near 0.7620 should return to the chart.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7523
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.03%
Today daily open0.7525
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7426
Daily SMA500.7354
Daily SMA1000.7387
Daily SMA2000.7557
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7537
Previous Daily Low0.7485
Previous Weekly High0.7557
Previous Weekly Low0.7463
Previous Monthly High0.7557
Previous Monthly Low0.7191
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7517
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7505
Daily Pivot Point S10.7494
Daily Pivot Point S20.7464
Daily Pivot Point S30.7442
Daily Pivot Point R10.7546
Daily Pivot Point R20.7568
Daily Pivot Point R30.7598

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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