|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Pullback from 50-EMA highlights 0.6720 support

  • AUD/USD pares the first weekly gain in three around the lowest levels in two months.
  • Convergence of 100-EMA, one-month-old descending resistance line adds to the upside filters.
  • Bullish MACD signals, RSI’s upward grind keeps pair buyers hopeful.
  • Downside break of ascending support line from Wednesday appears crucial for bear’s return.

AUD/USD prints mild losses around the mid-0.6700s as bulls take a breather following the first weekly gain in three during early Monday. In doing so, the Aussie pair portrays the failure to cross the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

Even so, the bullish MACD signals and the RSI (14) rebound keeps the AUD/USD buyers hopeful unless the quote breaks a three-day-old support line, around 0.6720.

Following that, the monthly low near the 0.6700 round figure and the January 2023 low of 0.6687 can act as extra checks for the Aussie pair sellers before giving them control.

Should the AUD/USD bears keep the reins past 0.6687, the last December’s bottom surrounding 0.6630 may gain the market’s attention.

On the contrary, recovery moves need to cross the 50-EMA hurdle near 0.6775 to convince intraday buyers of the AUD/UDS pair.

However, a convergence of the 100-EMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from early February, around 0.6820-25 by the press time, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers.

In a case where the AUD/USD bulls manage to keep the driver’s seat past 0.6825, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward the mid-February high of near 0.7030 can’t be ruled out. It should be noted that the 0.7000 round figure may act as a buffer between 0.6825 and 0.7030.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6757
Today Daily Change-0.0014
Today Daily Change %-0.21%
Today daily open0.6771
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6854
Daily SMA500.6898
Daily SMA1000.6749
Daily SMA2000.6792
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6775
Previous Daily Low0.6726
Previous Weekly High0.6784
Previous Weekly Low0.6695
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6756
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6744
Daily Pivot Point S10.6739
Daily Pivot Point S20.6708
Daily Pivot Point S30.669
Daily Pivot Point R10.6788
Daily Pivot Point R20.6806
Daily Pivot Point R30.6838

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at three-week highs above 0.7000 on hawkish RBA-speak

AUD/USD holds a positive bias for the fourth straight day, trading above 0.7000 in the Asian session on Wednesday and at three-week highs. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's hawkish remarks and inflation concerns underpin the pair. However, the upside appears capped as the US Dollar attracts some buyers amid looming US-Iran uncertainty.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold bounces off weekly low; Fed hike bets and modest USD recovery keep upside limited

Gold recovers slightly from the weekly low, around the $4,100 neighborhood, though the upside potential seems limited amid a bearish fundamental backdrop. Inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices underpin prospects for further policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve. Furthermore, a modest US Dollar recovery from a near three-week low could contribute to capping bullion.

Zcash's bullish reversal eyes $1,698 peak on NU7 upgrade
Zcash (ZEC) shows signs of bullish recovery above $1,200 on Wednesday, following a 9% rebound the previous day linked to the upcoming NU7 upgrade. Blockworks released a Zcash holders report on Tuesday, highlighting steady network growth. The technical outlook for ZEC is bullish, with bulls eyeing an extended rally toward $1,698.
US – Midterm update: Pre-election tail risk scenarios
With two weeks until the US midterm elections on 3 November, early voting has already opened in more than 40 states. Prediction markets are broadly unchanged since we published our Midterm update, 13 October. The prediction market Polymarket continues to see Democrats winning both chambers as the most likely outcome, with a 62.5% probability.
The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.