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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Holds gains but struggles at 0.6800, ahead of FOMC’s decision

  • Following a three-candle morning star pattern, further upside for the AUD/USD pair is expected, though pending Federal Reserve decisions could hinder this.
  • Resistance is seen at 0.6800, with further obstacles at the July 20 high of 0.6846, the July 14 high of 0.6894, and the February 21 high of 0.6919.
  • On the downside, initial support lies at the confluence of the 20- and 200-day EMA around 0.6752/51.

AUD/USD begins Wednesday’s Asian session with a minimal loss of 0.08% following a positive Tuesday’s session that witnessed the pair gaining 0.78% but failing to climb above the 0.6800 figure after bouncing from a daily low of 0.6725. As of writing, the AUD/USD exchanges hands at 0.6787.

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

In the last couple of days, after tumbling to a new two-week low of 0.6714, the AUD/USD stages a comeback following the formation of a three-candle morning star, warranting further upside is expected. However, fundamental news, mainly the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision looming, could negate its validity if Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Co. give a hawkish signal that could boost the greenback.

If AUD/USD extends its gains past 0.6800, the next resistance would be the July 20 daily high of 0.6846, followed by the July 14 high of 0.6894. A breach of the latter will expose the February 21 high at 0.6919, followed by the 0.7000 mark.

Conversely, if AUD/USD reverses its course, the first support to test would be the confluence of the 20-and 200-day EMA at around 0.6752/51. Once cleared, the next support would be the July 25 low of 0.6725, followed by the weekly low of 0.6714, with further downside risks emerging at 0.6700,

AUD/USD Price Action – Daily chart

AUD/USD Daily chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6789
Today Daily Change0.0050
Today Daily Change %0.74
Today daily open0.6739
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6721
Daily SMA500.6692
Daily SMA1000.6687
Daily SMA2000.672
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6756
Previous Daily Low0.6715
Previous Weekly High0.6854
Previous Weekly Low0.6722
Previous Monthly High0.69
Previous Monthly Low0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.674
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6731
Daily Pivot Point S10.6718
Daily Pivot Point S20.6696
Daily Pivot Point S30.6676
Daily Pivot Point R10.6759
Daily Pivot Point R20.6778
Daily Pivot Point R30.68

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

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