AUD/USD Price Analysis: Heads south towards 0.7050, with bear cross in play

AUD/USD is off the lows but remains vulnerable after rejection at higher levels.
Escalating fears over the Omicron covid variant contagion hits the aussie.
Bearish crossover and RSI keep the downside open towards 0.7050.

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

AUD/USD is reversing a brief dip below 0.7100 but the bearish bias remains intact amid a broadly firmer US dollar and the prevalent risk-off market profile.

Fears over the rapid spread of the Omicron covid variant worldwide, with the Australian state of New South Wales (NSW) reporting a spike in covid cases, weigh heavily on the high-beta currencies such as the aussie dollar. Further, mixed NAB Business Survey added to the pain in the aussie.

Markets will likely remain cautious ahead of Wednesday’s Fed policy decision and Thursday’s Australian employment data.

Looking at AUD/USD’s daily chart, the pair is extending the previous pullback after facing rejection once again at the bearish 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA), now at 0.7161.

The 14-Day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is inching lower below the midline, allowing room for more declines.

The downside bias is also backed by the bear cross confirmed on the daily time frame on Monday. The 50-DMA pierced through the 100-DMA from above, flashing the bearish signal.

The next relevant support is seen at the 0.7050 psychological level if the daily lows of 0.7090 cave in.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

On the flip side, buyers will need acceptance above the 21-DMA cap to extend the recovery from yearly lows of 0.6993 reached a week ago.

Further up, the recent range highs around 0.7185 could come into play, opening doors for a rally towards 0.7250.

AUD/USD: Additional levels to consider

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price	0.7103
Today Daily Change	-0.0021
Today Daily Change %	-0.29
Today daily open	0.7128

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.7164
Daily SMA50	0.7312
Daily SMA100	0.7312
Daily SMA200	0.7481

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.7177
Previous Daily Low	0.711
Previous Weekly High	0.7188
Previous Weekly Low	0.6995
Previous Monthly High	0.7537
Previous Monthly Low	0.7063
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.7135
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.7151
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.71
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.7071
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.7032
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.7167
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.7206
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.7235

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid near 1.1650 ahead of Fed rate decision

EUR/USD keeps the green near the 1.1650 level in the European session on Wednesday. Markets turn cautious and ignore the US Dollar ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision later on Wednesday, where a 25 bps rate cut is almost fully priced in. Meanwhile, cautious ECB-speak keeps the Euro afloat.

GBP/USD holds gains above 1.3300, eyes on Fed outcome

GBP/USD trades on a firmer note above 1.3300 in Wednesday's European session. The US Dollar weakens against the Pound Sterling as the US Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce another interest rate cut on Wednesday. Next of note will be the UK monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report that will be published on Friday.

Gold struggles around $4,200, looks to Fed for fresh impetus

Gold extends its sideways consolidative price move through the European session and trades around $4,200 this Wednesday. Traders now seem reluctant and opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting later in the day. The key focus will be on updated economic projections and Powell's speech.