|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears stay in control and target a weekly support area

  • AUD/USD bears are in control and target a downside extension. 
  • The bulls could look to the neckline of the daily M-formation thereafter. 

AUD/USD fell from 0.7460 to 0.7420 overnight and remains on the backfoot, with bears eeking out a score of 0.7411 in Asia. Looking at the weekly and daily charts, the outlook remains bearish until weekly and daily support structures as illustrated below. 

AUD/USD weekly chart

The price rallied to a high of 0.7663 which was met with an intense bout of supply last week, leaving the outlook bearish for the days ahead this week. 

AUD/USD daily chart

From the daily chart's perspective, there is some room to go to the downside until the prior resistance looking left. Currently, the neckline of the M-formation aligns with the 23.6% ratio, but the 38.2%, a preferred Fibonacci level, would align with the same resistance once the price reaches the aforementioned downside target and presumed support area. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold eyes worst week in a month amid hawkish Fed outlook

Gold is extending Thursday’s late rebound from the weekly low of $4,244 into Asia on Friday, but remains below $4,300. The bullion is headed for its worst week in four weeks amid a hawkish US Federal Reserve outlook and deepening global bond rout.

Bitcoin reclaims $84,000, Ethereum heads toward recent highs, XRP extends rebound
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) extend their recovery on Friday after recent pullbacks, as investors show renewed buying interest. BTC reclaims the $84,000 level, ETH moves back above $2,688 while XRP builds on recent’s gains. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies will be crucial as bulls attempt to sustain the rebound and challenge key resistance levels.
Treasury announces second oversized bond buyback as it tries to put a lid on yields

The Treasury Department will buy back another $6 billion in long-term Treasuries as it continues efforts to tamp down rising yields. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced this second expanded buyback on Wednesday.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.