|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Attempts establishment above 38.2% Fibo retracement at 0.6920

  • Aussie bulls are aiming to sustain above 38.2% Fibo retracement around 0.6920.
  • Advancing 20-and 50-period EMAs add to the upside filters.
  • The RSI (14) has shifted into the 40.00-60.00 range after a mild correction.

The AUD/USD pair is attempting to hold itself above the crucial support of 0.6900 after a sharp decline in the initial hours of the Tokyo session. A rebound move by the aussie bulls seems firmer and many get strengthened further after overstepping 0.6920.

On a four-hour scale, the asset is focusing on surpassing 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (which is plotted from June 3 high at 0.7283 to July 14 low at 0.6680) at 0.6920. Earlier, the major failed to kiss the 50% Fibo retracement, which is placed at 0.6984.

The greenback bulls have attacked the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 0.6900. While the 50-EMA at 0.6867 is untouched from the past week. Advancing short-term EMAs add to the upside filters.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped into a 40.00-60.00 range from the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. This doesn’t warrant a bearish reversal, however, the asset is facing a minor correction after printing a monthly high of 0.6977.

Should the asset overstep 38.2% Fbo retracement at 0.6920 firmly, aussie bull will regain its mojo and will drive the asset towards June 28 high at 0.6965. A breach of the latter will send the major towards the psychological resistance at 0.7000.

On the flip side, a steep fall below the round-level support of 0.6800 will strengthen the greenback bulls. This may decline the pair towards July 13 low at 0.6724, followed by July 14 low at 0.6680.

AUD/USD four-hour chart         

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6906
Today Daily Change-0.0025
Today Daily Change %-0.36
Today daily open0.6931
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6843
Daily SMA500.6975
Daily SMA1000.714
Daily SMA2000.7188
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6978
Previous Daily Low0.6892
Previous Weekly High0.6978
Previous Weekly Low0.6788
Previous Monthly High0.7283
Previous Monthly Low0.685
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6945
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6925
Daily Pivot Point S10.689
Daily Pivot Point S20.6849
Daily Pivot Point S30.6805
Daily Pivot Point R10.6975
Daily Pivot Point R20.7019
Daily Pivot Point R30.706

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays below 1.3600 on modest USD strength

GBP/USD is consolidating near the lower end of its weekly range, below the 1.3600 mark, during European trading hours on Thursday. The pair's downside, however, remains cushioned as traders await Fed Chair Warsh's speech on Friday for more cues about the US central bank's interest rate path before placing fresh directional bets.

EUR/USD drops to fresh weekly lows below 1.1650

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades at its lowest level in a week below 1.1650 on Thursday. The European Central Bank's policy meeting accounts fail to help the Euro stay resilient, while the cautious market mood supports the USD and weighs on the pair. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday will be critical for the pair's next direction.

Gold holds steady around $4,600 as traders eye Fed's Warsh for rate cues

Gold languishes near the $4,600 mark through the first half of the European session on Thursday and remains close to the weekly low it touched the previous day. The downside, however, seems limited as traders opt to wait for US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday for cues on the future policy path. The outlook, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

Ripple eases to $1.40, Solana hits $100, DOGE capped below $0.10
Ripple (XRP) and Dogecoin (DOGE) are facing downside pressure after double-digit gains last week, while Solana (SOL) extends its rally to $100. The technical outlook for XRP, SOL, and DOGE points to potential upside as the broader market sustains a risk-on sentiment.
Jackson Hole kicks off after upside PCE surprise

Fed's annual Jackson Hole conference will take place. This year's topic is "Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy". The main market mover during the conference is Fed chairman Warsh's speech on Friday. Markets will look for any hints about monetary policy in September. We expect Warsh to continue his pattern of providing little to no forward guidance.

Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.