|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: 0.6800 remains critical for the Australian Dollar

  • AUD/USD has sensed a minor correction after a perpendicular recovery from 0.6720.
  • An improvement in investors’ risk appetite has underpinned the Australian Dollar.
  • The Aussie asset needs to surpass 0.6800 for an upside move ahead.

The AUD/USD pair has sensed a minor correction in the early Tokyo session after a perpendicular recovery from 0.6720. The Aussie asset is likely to extend its recovery to near the round-level resistance of 0.6800 as the risk appetite of the market participants has improved dramatically.

A stellar recovery in the S&P500 on Thursday as investors rushed for dip buying after a two-day sell-off underpinned risk-off mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to near the lower end of the weekly trading range around 103.60.

On a four-hour scale, the Aussie asset is auctioning in a Rising Channel chart pattern, which is highly neutral as it has formed after a sell-off move from December 13 high around 0.6900. The round-level resistance of 0.6800 has remained a critical barrier for the Australian Dollar for the past 15 trading sessions.

A recovery move in the Aussie asset has pushed it above the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around 0.6747. Also, the 200-EMA at 0.6700 is still solid, which indicates that the long-term trend is still bullish.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is struggling to shift into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. An occurrence of the same will trigger bullish momentum.

For an upside move, the Australian Dollar needs to surpass Wednesday’s high around 0.6800, while will drive the Aussie asset towards December 13 high around 0.6880 followed by the psychological resistance at 0.7000.

On the contrary, a breakdown of December 27 low at 0.6719 will drag the major towards December 15 low around 0.6677. A slippage below the latter will expose the asset for more downside toward December 20 low at 0.6629.

AUD/USD four-hour chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6778
Today Daily Change0.0044
Today Daily Change %0.65
Today daily open0.6734
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6739
Daily SMA500.6627
Daily SMA1000.6649
Daily SMA2000.687
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6801
Previous Daily Low0.6719
Previous Weekly High0.6767
Previous Weekly Low0.6629
Previous Monthly High0.6801
Previous Monthly Low0.6272
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.677
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6751
Daily Pivot Point S10.6702
Daily Pivot Point S20.667
Daily Pivot Point S30.662
Daily Pivot Point R10.6784
Daily Pivot Point R20.6833
Daily Pivot Point R30.6865

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

Japanese Yen gains ground as traders await Fed rate decision

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 160.25 during the early European trading hours. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh later on Wednesday.

AUD/USD stays pressured; holds above 0.7050 as traders await Fed decision

The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia-inspired bounce and trades with a negative bias for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, hold above the 0.7050 level as traders opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold extends intraday slide towards $4,250

Gold turned negative by the end of Wednesday and trades in the $4,260 price zone. The US Federal Reserve left rates unchanged, but delivered a hawkish message, even though Chair Kevin Warsh refused to provide forward guidance.

Two altcoins to watch as DeFi market cap nears $70B
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) tokens exhibit mixed signals on Wednesday, with Uniswap (UNI) slightly pulling back from an early-week rally to highs around $3.73, while Aster (ASTER) extends its recovery near $0.80. Bitcoin (BTC) holds above $65,000 following a rejection at June highs around $67,000.
Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates in Warsh's debut as chair

The United States Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers and new Chair Kevin Warsh as energy prices retreat after the United States and Iran reached a framework deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.