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AUD/USD pares early losses, steadies around 0.7770

  • AUD/USD rebounds after dropping to 0.7730 area earlier in the day.
  • US Dollar Index loses traction in the American session.
  • Risk-averse market environment limits AUD/USD's upside ahead of RBA meeting minutes.

The AUD/USD pair dropped to a daily low of 0.7731 during the European trading hours but managed to stage a rebound in the second half of the day. As of writing, the pair was virtually unchanged on a daily basis at 0.7770.

Earlier in the day, the risk-averse market environment helped the greenback stay resilient against its rivals and didn't allow AUD/USD to gain traction. Additionally, the data from China showed that Retail Sales in April rose by 17.7% on a yearly basis, compared to analysts' estimate of 24.9%, and weighed on the China-sensitive AUD.

Nevertheless, AUD/USD reversed its direction in the American session amid the renewed selling pressure surrounding the greenback. The US Dollar Index, which turned positive on the day around 90.40, is currently losing 0.15% at 90.18.

On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will release the minutes of its May meeting, at which the bank decided to leave its policy rate unchanged at 0.1%. 

AUD/USD outlook

FX strategists at UOB Group think that AUD/USD is likely to trade between 0.7680 and 0.7830 for the next couple of weeks.

"AUD dropped sharply to 0.7688 last Thursday (13 May) before rebounding strongly on Friday," strategists said. "The sharp but short-lived swings have resulted in a mixed outlook and AUD is likely to trade within a broad 0.7680/0.7830 range for now.”

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7768
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open0.7777
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7763
Daily SMA500.7712
Daily SMA1000.7723
Daily SMA2000.7495
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7788
Previous Daily Low0.7713
Previous Weekly High0.7892
Previous Weekly Low0.7688
Previous Monthly High0.7819
Previous Monthly Low0.7531
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7759
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7742
Daily Pivot Point S10.7731
Daily Pivot Point S20.7684
Daily Pivot Point S30.7656
Daily Pivot Point R10.7806
Daily Pivot Point R20.7834
Daily Pivot Point R30.7881

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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