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AUD/USD pares early gains, turns flat below 0.7800 ahead of Powell's speech

  • AUD/USD struggles to hold above 0.7800 on Thursday.
  • US Dollar Index stays in the positive territory above 91.00.
  • Eyes on mid-tier US data, FOMC Chairman Powell's speech.

The AUD/USD pair dropped to a daily low of 0.7753 on Thursday but staged a modest rebound during the early trading hours of the European session. After rising to a session high of 0.7815, however, the pair lost its traction and was last seen trading flat on the day at 0.7775.

Earlier in the day, the data from Australia showed that Retail Sales in January increased by 0.5%, compared to analysts' estimate of 0.6%, but was largely ignored by market participants.

DXY holds above 91.00

Meanwhile, the risk-averse market environment is helping the USD gather strength against its rivals on Thursday. After closing in the positive territory on Wednesday, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.2% at 90.13 and the S&P 500 Futures are down 0.5%.

Later in the session, the US Department of Labor will release its weekly Initial Jobless Claims report and the US Census Bureau will publish January Factory Orders data. More importantly, FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell will be delivering a speech about the US economy at the Wall Street Journal jobs summit at 1705 GMT. 

Investors will pay close attention to Powell's comments on Treasury bond yields. If the chairman continues to downplay the recent upsurge in yields, the USD could continue to outperform its rivals and weigh on AUD/USD

Powell Preview: Three scenarios for the Fed to defuse the bond bonfire, market implications.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.778
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open0.7783
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7781
Daily SMA500.7729
Daily SMA1000.7519
Daily SMA2000.7304
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7838
Previous Daily Low0.777
Previous Weekly High0.8008
Previous Weekly Low0.7692
Previous Monthly High0.8008
Previous Monthly Low0.7562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7796
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7812
Daily Pivot Point S10.7757
Daily Pivot Point S20.773
Daily Pivot Point S30.7689
Daily Pivot Point R10.7824
Daily Pivot Point R20.7865
Daily Pivot Point R30.7892

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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